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[About This Newsletter]
DECISION POINT
PROFUNDS TRACKER DAILY REPORT
Monday, 6/30/2008
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The Decision Point ProFunds Tracker is a daily publication specializing in
the ProFunds mutual funds. It provides momentum analysis, strength
ranking and BUY and SELL Signals. This newsletter is included as part of a
DecisionPoint.com PRIME web site subscription.
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INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS TO ASSIST FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
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DISTRIBUTIONS
Close $ % Distribution Adjustment
Name NAV Change Change Amount Factor
---------------------- ------ ------ ------ ---------- --------
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.13 +0.12 +0.4% 0.05 0.9984
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TODAY'S RESULTS AND PRICE CHANGE ANALYSIS
06/30 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ %age %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym NAV Change Change Change Change Change
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
ProFund Bull BLPIX 57.33 +0.07 +0.1% +0.1% -8.5% -13%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 28.95 -0.01 0.0% 0.0% +9.0% +13%
UltraBull ULPIX 52.08 +0.08 +0.2% +0.2% -16.7% -26%
UltraBear URPIX 15.99 -0.01 -0.1% -0.1% +18.4% +26%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 66.72 -0.69 -1.0% -1.0% -9.3% -12%
Short NDX SOPIX 15.45 +0.16 +1.0% +1.0% +10.1% +11%
UltraDow UDPIX 31.20 -0.07 -0.2% -0.2% -19.6% -29%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 20.74 +0.04 +0.2% +0.2% +22.6% +29%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 24.28 -0.51 -2.1% -2.1% -19.1% -26%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 11.04 +0.22 +2.0% +2.0% +20.8% +21%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 44.95 -0.49 -1.1% -1.1% -14.1% -12%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 13.36 +0.14 +1.1% +1.1% +15.0% +3%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 21.99 -0.50 -2.2% -2.2% -15.2% -21%
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 15.03 +0.34 +2.3% +2.3% +16.1% +13%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 43.85 -0.23 -0.5% -0.5% -7.2% -5%
Small-Cap SLPIX 38.94 -0.47 -1.2% -1.2% -7.8% -10%
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 17.11 +0.20 +1.2% +1.2% +8.0% +8%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 39.03 +0.06 +0.2% +0.2% -6.1% -9%
LgCap Value LVPIX 40.00 +0.05 +0.1% +0.1% -11.3% -17%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 39.08 -0.23 -0.6% -0.6% -5.4% -2%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 41.14 -0.23 -0.6% -0.6% -9.1% -8%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 38.91 -0.32 -0.8% -0.8% -6.4% -6%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 39.69 -0.45 -1.1% -1.1% -9.2% -10%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.13 +0.12 +0.4% +0.4% +4.3% 0%
Rising Rates RRPIX 17.78 -0.04 -0.2% -0.2% -4.3% -2%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.60 -0.02 -0.1% -0.1% -1.0% -2%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 26.71 +0.08 +0.3% +0.3% -0.6% -5%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 31.62 -0.10 -0.3% -0.3% +0.6% +6%
Banks BKPIX 14.28 -0.53 -3.6% -3.6% -32.7% -47%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 71.56 -0.07 -0.1% -0.1% -2.3% +12%
Biotech BIPIX 54.63 +0.62 +1.1% +1.1% 0.0% +7%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 32.43 -0.05 -0.2% -0.2% -13.3% -21%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 23.00 -0.32 -1.4% -1.4% -15.1% -19%
Financial FNPIX 13.72 -0.42 -3.0% -3.0% -25.2% -40%
Healthcare HCPIX 13.72 +0.18 +1.3% +1.3% -6.9% -19%
Industrial IDPIX 37.93 +0.26 +0.7% +0.7% -16.2% -18%
Internet INPIX 77.67 -1.93 -2.4% -2.4% -16.4% -18%
Mobile Tel WCPIX 8.83 +0.58 +7.0% +7.0% -5.3% -35%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 67.25 +1.62 +2.5% +2.5% +3.5% +13%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 14.77 -0.24 -1.6% -1.6% -3.1% -12%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 53.32 +0.83 +1.6% +1.6% +8.8% +27%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 7.91 +0.15 +1.9% +1.9% -6.9% -21%
Precious Met PMPIX 54.49 +0.27 +0.5% +0.5% +10.4% +14%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 16.36 -0.05 -0.3% -0.3% -7.3% -17%
Real Estate REPIX 32.80 -0.05 -0.2% -0.2% -17.5% -12%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 27.37 +0.03 +0.1% +0.1% +12.4% +2%
Semiconductr SMPIX 14.50 -0.16 -1.1% -1.1% -15.0% -24%
Technology TEPIX 26.92 -0.42 -1.5% -1.5% -14.1% -21%
Telecom TCPIX 16.14 +0.68 +4.4% +4.4% -17.4% -27%
Utilities UTPIX 27.37 +0.79 +3.0% +3.0% -1.8% -5%
Europe 30 UEPIX 18.03 +0.20 +1.1% +1.1% -5.8% -10%
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 35.04 +0.75 +2.2% +2.2% -17.0% -18%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 7.13 -0.16 -2.2% -2.2% +16.7% -1%
Ultra Intl UNPIX 27.32 +0.31 +1.1% +1.1% -16.9% -25%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 23.69 -0.27 -1.1% -1.1% +18.7% +22%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 25.55 -0.11 -0.4% -0.4% -13.8% -23%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 36.70 +0.19 +0.5% +0.5% +12.7% +15%
Average +0.1% +0.1% -4.1% -7%
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PROFUNDS FUNDS SORTED BY TODAY'S PERCENTAGE CHANGE
06/30 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ %age %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym NAV Change Change Change Change Change
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Mobile Tel WCPIX 8.83 +0.58 +7.0% +7.0% -5.3% -35%
Telecom TCPIX 16.14 +0.68 +4.4% +4.4% -17.4% -27%
Utilities UTPIX 27.37 +0.79 +3.0% +3.0% -1.8% -5%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 67.25 +1.62 +2.5% +2.5% +3.5% +13%
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 15.03 +0.34 +2.3% +2.3% +16.1% +13%
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 35.04 +0.75 +2.2% +2.2% -17.0% -18%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 11.04 +0.22 +2.0% +2.0% +20.8% +21%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 7.91 +0.15 +1.9% +1.9% -6.9% -21%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 53.32 +0.83 +1.6% +1.6% +8.8% +27%
Healthcare HCPIX 13.72 +0.18 +1.3% +1.3% -6.9% -19%
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 17.11 +0.20 +1.2% +1.2% +8.0% +8%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 13.36 +0.14 +1.1% +1.1% +15.0% +3%
Biotech BIPIX 54.63 +0.62 +1.1% +1.1% 0.0% +7%
Europe 30 UEPIX 18.03 +0.20 +1.1% +1.1% -5.8% -10%
Ultra Intl UNPIX 27.32 +0.31 +1.1% +1.1% -16.9% -25%
Short NDX SOPIX 15.45 +0.16 +1.0% +1.0% +10.1% +11%
Industrial IDPIX 37.93 +0.26 +0.7% +0.7% -16.2% -18%
Precious Met PMPIX 54.49 +0.27 +0.5% +0.5% +10.4% +14%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 36.70 +0.19 +0.5% +0.5% +12.7% +15%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.13 +0.12 +0.4% +0.4% +4.3% 0%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 26.71 +0.08 +0.3% +0.3% -0.6% -5%
UltraBull ULPIX 52.08 +0.08 +0.2% +0.2% -16.7% -26%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 20.74 +0.04 +0.2% +0.2% +22.6% +29%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 39.03 +0.06 +0.2% +0.2% -6.1% -9%
ProFund Bull BLPIX 57.33 +0.07 +0.1% +0.1% -8.5% -13%
LgCap Value LVPIX 40.00 +0.05 +0.1% +0.1% -11.3% -17%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 27.37 +0.03 +0.1% +0.1% +12.4% +2%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 28.95 -0.01 0.0% 0.0% +9.0% +13%
UltraBear URPIX 15.99 -0.01 -0.1% -0.1% +18.4% +26%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.60 -0.02 -0.1% -0.1% -1.0% -2%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 71.56 -0.07 -0.1% -0.1% -2.3% +12%
UltraDow UDPIX 31.20 -0.07 -0.2% -0.2% -19.6% -29%
Rising Rates RRPIX 17.78 -0.04 -0.2% -0.2% -4.3% -2%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 32.43 -0.05 -0.2% -0.2% -13.3% -21%
Real Estate REPIX 32.80 -0.05 -0.2% -0.2% -17.5% -12%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 31.62 -0.10 -0.3% -0.3% +0.6% +6%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 16.36 -0.05 -0.3% -0.3% -7.3% -17%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 25.55 -0.11 -0.4% -0.4% -13.8% -23%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 43.85 -0.23 -0.5% -0.5% -7.2% -5%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 39.08 -0.23 -0.6% -0.6% -5.4% -2%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 41.14 -0.23 -0.6% -0.6% -9.1% -8%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 38.91 -0.32 -0.8% -0.8% -6.4% -6%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 66.72 -0.69 -1.0% -1.0% -9.3% -12%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 44.95 -0.49 -1.1% -1.1% -14.1% -12%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 39.69 -0.45 -1.1% -1.1% -9.2% -10%
Semiconductr SMPIX 14.50 -0.16 -1.1% -1.1% -15.0% -24%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 23.69 -0.27 -1.1% -1.1% +18.7% +22%
Small-Cap SLPIX 38.94 -0.47 -1.2% -1.2% -7.8% -10%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 23.00 -0.32 -1.4% -1.4% -15.1% -19%
Technology TEPIX 26.92 -0.42 -1.5% -1.5% -14.1% -21%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 14.77 -0.24 -1.6% -1.6% -3.1% -12%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 24.28 -0.51 -2.1% -2.1% -19.1% -26%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 21.99 -0.50 -2.2% -2.2% -15.2% -21%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 7.13 -0.16 -2.2% -2.2% +16.7% -1%
Internet INPIX 77.67 -1.93 -2.4% -2.4% -16.4% -18%
Financial FNPIX 13.72 -0.42 -3.0% -3.0% -25.2% -40%
Banks BKPIX 14.28 -0.53 -3.6% -3.6% -32.7% -47%
Average +0.1% +0.1% -4.1% -7%
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PROFUNDS FUNDS SORTED BY PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR (PMO) RANK
This section ranks the securities based on Decision Point's proprietary
PMO, a measure of internal and relative strength.
|-RankChg| |--% Price Change-| Hot/Cold PMO
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group & Xover
Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 06/30 Day Day Blinkers Sgnl/Days
---------------------- -- --- --- ----- ---- ---- |---------|---------
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 1 +3 +23 +0.2% +9% +17% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 41
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 2 -1 0 +1.6% -1% +3% 1 ++ ++ BUY 0
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 3 0 +39 -1.1% +2% +12% 1 ++ ++ BUY 40
UltraBear URPIX 4 +3 +35 -0.1% +6% +13% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 40
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 5 +1 +46 -2.2% -2% +8% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 34
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 6 +4 +34 +0.1% +3% +7% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 54
Oil & Gas ENPIX 7 -2 0 +2.5% -1% 0% 4 -+ ++ SELL 34
ProFund Bear BRPIX 8 +7 +30 0.0% +3% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 40
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 9 -7 -4 -0.1% -6% -6% 5 -- -+ SELL 38
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 10 +26 +45 +2.0% +8% +15% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 40
Precious Met PMPIX 11 +22 +18 +0.5% +11% +7% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 4
Mobile Tel WCPIX 12 -4 -11 +7.0% +14% -1% 4 -+ ++ SELL 33
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 13 +24 +39 +2.3% +8% +13% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 21
Short NDX SOPIX 14 +20 +35 +1.0% +4% +7% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 40
Biotech BIPIX 15 +6 +6 +1.1% +2% +1% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 0
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 16 +29 +40 +1.1% +9% +13% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 38
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 17 +18 +31 +1.2% +4% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 21
UltSht Japan UKPIX 18 +23 +36 +0.5% +5% +11% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 24
Utilities UTPIX 19 -7 -2 +3.0% -2% -2% 5 -- -+ SELL 28
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 20 -2 +10 -0.1% -2% -1% 5 -- -+ SELL 5
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 21 -10 -8 -0.6% -4% -5% 5 -- -+ SELL 38
Rising Rates RRPIX 22 -8 0 -0.2% -4% -3% 5 -- -+ SELL 7
Fall Dollar FDPIX 23 +9 +13 -0.3% +1% +1% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 5
Rise Dollar RDPIX 24 +1 +13 +0.3% -1% -1% 5 -- -- + SELL 5
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 25 -8 -7 -0.8% -4% -5% 6 -- -- SELL 21
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 26 +14 +20 +0.4% +4% +3% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
Mid-Cap MDPIX 27 -7 -12 -0.5% -4% -6% 6 -- -- SELL 38
Small-Cap SLPIX 28 -4 -8 -1.2% -4% -6% 6 -- -- SELL 21
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 29 -6 -15 -1.0% -4% -7% 6 -- -- SELL 40
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 30 -21 -26 -1.1% -8% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 38
Ultra Japan UJPIX 31 -18 -25 -0.4% -5% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 24
LgCap Growth LGPIX 32 -1 -7 +0.2% -3% -5% 6 -- -- SELL 39
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 33 -7 +8 -0.3% -7% -5% 6 -- -- SELL 4
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 34 -7 -15 -0.6% -4% -7% 6 -- -- SELL 38
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 35 -6 -12 -1.1% -4% -7% 6 -- -- SELL 21
Technology TEPIX 36 -14 -26 -1.5% -6% -11% 6 -- -- SELL 39
Europe 30 UEPIX 37 +2 -10 +1.1% 0% -3% 4 -- +- + SELL 34
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 38 -22 -30 -2.2% -8% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 21
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 39 +7 +11 -1.6% +1% 0% 3 +- -- + BUY 34
Semiconductr SMPIX 40 -10 -31 -1.1% -6% -11% 6 -- -- SELL 38
Ultra NDX UOPIX 41 -22 -38 -2.1% -8% -15% 6 -- -- SELL 40
Healthcare HCPIX 42 +2 -7 +1.3% +1% -3% 4 -- +- + SELL 20
ProFund Bull BLPIX 43 -5 -9 +0.1% -3% -6% 6 -- -- SELL 40
Internet INPIX 44 -16 -33 -2.4% -7% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 34
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 45 +5 0 +1.9% +1% -1% 4 -- +- + SELL 24
LgCap Value LVPIX 46 +2 -3 +0.1% -3% -7% 5 -- -- + SELL 40
Consumer Svc CYPIX 47 -4 -19 -1.4% -5% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 40
Industrial IDPIX 48 -6 -22 +0.7% -7% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 39
Consumer Gds CNPIX 49 0 -5 -0.2% -4% -9% 6 -- -- SELL 40
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 50 +3 -38 +2.2% +2% -9% 5 -- -- + SELL 34
UltraBull ULPIX 51 -4 -18 +0.2% -6% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 40
Real Estate REPIX 52 -1 -20 -0.2% -4% -11% 6 -- -- SELL 54
Telecom TCPIX 53 -1 -37 +4.4% -1% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 39
Ultra Intl UNPIX 54 0 -23 +1.1% -3% -11% 6 -- -- SELL 39
UltraDow UDPIX 55 0 -8 -0.2% -8% -15% 6 -- -- SELL 41
Financial FNPIX 56 0 -3 -3.0% -8% -16% 6 -- -- SELL 49
Banks BKPIX 57 0 0 -3.6% -9% -20% 6 -- -- SELL 49
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PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our ProFnd Top 5 signals or the longer-term
Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
ProFnd ProFnd
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 18 39
% of Total......: 32% 68%
Ave Days Elapsed: 27 32
Ave High Profit.: +9% +11%
Ave Profit......: +8% +10%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 39%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 51%
06/30 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol NAV Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
Biotech BIPIX 54.63 +1.1% BUY 0 0.0% -2.2% R 3
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 53.32 +1.6% BUY 0 0.0% -3.0% R 0
Precious Met PMPIX 54.49 +0.5% BUY 4 5.4% 5.4% R 7
Fall Dollar FDPIX 31.62 -0.3% BUY 5 0.8% 0.5% R 10
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.13 +0.4% BUY 7 3.8% 3.8% R 10
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 15.03 +2.3% BUY 21 13.0% 13.0% R 13
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 17.11 +1.2% BUY 21 6.2% 6.2% R 13
UltSht Japan UKPIX 36.70 +0.5% BUY 24 8.3% 8.3% R 12
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 14.77 -1.6% BUY 34 2.6% -3.3% F 0
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 7.13 -2.2% BUY 34 16.4% 12.5% R 4
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 13.36 +1.1% BUY 38 9.0% 9.0% R 24
ProFund Bear BRPIX 28.95 0.0% BUY 40 8.4% 8.4% R 24
UltraBear URPIX 15.99 -0.1% BUY 40 16.9% 16.8% R 24
Short NDX SOPIX 15.45 +1.0% BUY 40 6.0% 6.0% R 24
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 11.04 +2.0% BUY 40 11.9% 11.9% R 24
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 23.69 -1.1% BUY 40 22.0% 20.3% R 40
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 20.74 +0.2% BUY 41 26.4% 26.4% R 41
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 27.37 +0.1% BUY 54 11.4% 11.4% R 13
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 16.36 -0.3% SELL 4 3.5% 3.5% F 7
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.60 -0.1% SELL 5 1.2% 1.2% F 10
Rise Dollar RDPIX 26.71 +0.3% SELL 5 0.8% 0.5% F 10
Rising Rates RRPIX 17.78 -0.2% SELL 7 3.7% 3.7% F 10
Healthcare HCPIX 13.72 +1.3% SELL 20 4.4% 2.4% R 0
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 21.99 -2.2% SELL 21 12.3% 12.3% F 13
Small-Cap SLPIX 38.94 -1.2% SELL 21 6.3% 6.3% F 13
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 38.91 -0.8% SELL 21 5.2% 5.2% F 12
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 39.69 -1.1% SELL 21 6.8% 6.8% F 13
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 7.91 +1.9% SELL 24 4.8% 2.1% R 0
Ultra Japan UJPIX 25.55 -0.4% SELL 24 9.7% 9.7% F 12
Utilities UTPIX 27.37 +3.0% SELL 28 3.4% 0.5% F 12
Mobile Tel WCPIX 8.83 +7.0% SELL 33 12.6% 0.0% R 0
Internet INPIX 77.67 -2.4% SELL 34 14.5% 14.5% F 24
Oil & Gas ENPIX 67.25 +2.5% SELL 34 3.9% -3.7% R 0
Europe 30 UEPIX 18.03 +1.1% SELL 34 6.6% 5.5% R 0
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 35.04 +2.2% SELL 34 16.7% 14.0% F 4
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 44.95 -1.1% SELL 38 9.5% 9.5% F 24
Mid-Cap MDPIX 43.85 -0.5% SELL 38 4.7% 4.7% F 24
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 39.08 -0.6% SELL 38 2.5% 2.5% F 12
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 41.14 -0.6% SELL 38 6.8% 6.8% F 24
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 71.56 -0.1% SELL 38 1.1% -1.0% F 11
Semiconductr SMPIX 14.50 -1.1% SELL 38 12.3% 12.3% F 24
LgCap Growth LGPIX 39.03 +0.2% SELL 39 5.6% 5.5% F 24
Industrial IDPIX 37.93 +0.7% SELL 39 14.3% 13.7% F 24
Technology TEPIX 26.92 -1.5% SELL 39 10.1% 10.1% F 24
Telecom TCPIX 16.14 +4.4% SELL 39 18.3% 14.7% F 24
Ultra Intl UNPIX 27.32 +1.1% SELL 39 20.4% 19.2% F 40
ProFund Bull BLPIX 57.33 +0.1% SELL 40 8.0% 7.9% F 24
UltraBull ULPIX 52.08 +0.2% SELL 40 15.8% 15.7% F 24
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 66.72 -1.0% SELL 40 5.8% 5.8% F 24
Ultra NDX UOPIX 24.28 -2.1% SELL 40 12.8% 12.8% F 24
LgCap Value LVPIX 40.00 +0.1% SELL 40 10.9% 10.8% F 24
Consumer Gds CNPIX 32.43 -0.2% SELL 40 12.0% 12.0% F 24
Consumer Svc CYPIX 23.00 -1.4% SELL 40 12.8% 12.8% F 24
UltraDow UDPIX 31.20 -0.2% SELL 41 22.3% 22.3% F 41
Banks BKPIX 14.28 -3.6% SELL 49 40.6% 40.6% F 54
Financial FNPIX 13.72 -3.0% SELL 49 30.6% 30.6% F 13
Real Estate REPIX 32.80 -0.2% SELL 54 16.8% 16.8% F 13
Average +0.1% 31 10.2% 9.2% 17
*****************************************************************************
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
ProFnd ProFnd
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 25 32
% of Total......: 44% 56%
Ave Days Elapsed: 63 124
Ave High Profit.: +9% +19%
Ave Profit......: +6% +16%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -14%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the ProFunds Funds.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
06/30 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol NAV Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 17.11 +1.2% BUY 0 0.0% -5.0% 15.40 +11.1%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 13.36 +1.1% BUY 3 1.1% 1.1% 12.02 +11.1%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 28.95 0.0% BUY 4 0.3% 0.3% 26.06 +11.1%
Short NDX SOPIX 15.45 +1.0% BUY 4 1.0% 1.0% 13.91 +11.1%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 11.04 +2.0% BUY 4 2.0% 2.0% 9.94 +11.1%
Precious Met PMPIX 54.49 +0.5% BUY 4 5.4% 5.4% 48.28 +12.9%
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 15.03 +2.3% BUY 6 5.0% 5.0% 13.53 +11.1%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 27.37 +0.1% BUY 10 5.0% 5.0% 24.63 +11.1%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 36.70 +0.5% BUY 10 3.3% 3.3% 33.03 +11.1%
UltraBear URPIX 15.99 -0.1% BUY 19 8.5% 8.4% 13.92 +14.9%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 23.69 -1.1% BUY 21 13.4% 11.7% 21.40 +10.7%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 20.74 +0.2% BUY 27 18.3% 18.3% 17.30 +19.9%
Rising Rates RRPIX 17.78 -0.2% BUY 33 1.5% -4.3% 16.97 +4.8%
Small-Cap SLPIX 38.94 -1.2% BUY 48 3.7% -6.4% 38.81 +0.3%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 38.91 -0.8% BUY 60 5.1% -3.2% 38.02 +2.4%
Europe 30 UEPIX 18.03 +1.1% BUY 68 5.3% -3.3% 17.67 +2.1%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 43.85 -0.5% BUY 73 7.5% -2.0% 43.26 +1.4%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 39.03 +0.2% BUY 73 2.9% -4.7% 37.92 +2.9%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 39.08 -0.6% BUY 75 9.2% 1.4% 37.87 +3.2%
Utilities UTPIX 27.37 +3.0% BUY 75 4.9% 1.6% 25.44 +7.6%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 67.25 +2.5% BUY 89 25.2% 20.6% 57.60 +16.8%
Biotech BIPIX 54.63 +1.1% BUY 90 3.5% 0.2% 50.76 +7.6%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 71.56 -0.1% BUY 96 25.9% 17.0% 64.62 +10.7%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 53.32 +1.6% BUY 96 47.1% 45.0% 41.91 +27.2%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 31.62 -0.3% BUY 581 20.1% 18.5% 28.84 +9.7%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 66.72 -1.0% SELL 0 0.0% -3.7% 73.39 -9.1%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 41.14 -0.6% SELL 0 0.0% -5.4% 45.25 -9.1%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 39.69 -1.1% SELL 0 0.0% -8.8% 43.66 -9.1%
ProFund Bull BLPIX 57.33 +0.1% SELL 3 0.0% -0.1% 62.99 -9.0%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 44.95 -1.1% SELL 6 5.8% 5.8% 49.45 -9.1%
Technology TEPIX 26.92 -1.5% SELL 6 5.3% 5.3% 29.71 -9.4%
Industrial IDPIX 37.93 +0.7% SELL 12 8.6% 8.0% 43.49 -12.8%
UltraBull ULPIX 52.08 +0.2% SELL 19 8.5% 8.4% 63.12 -17.5%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 24.28 -2.1% SELL 19 9.5% 9.5% 27.77 -12.6%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 21.99 -2.2% SELL 19 7.7% 7.7% 25.84 -14.9%
Internet INPIX 77.67 -2.4% SELL 19 8.0% 8.0% 88.07 -11.8%
Telecom TCPIX 16.14 +4.4% SELL 19 10.9% 7.0% 19.23 -16.0%
Semiconductr SMPIX 14.50 -1.1% SELL 20 8.9% 8.9% 16.64 -12.8%
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 35.04 +2.2% SELL 20 6.2% 3.2% 37.36 -6.2%
Real Estate REPIX 32.80 -0.2% SELL 21 11.0% 11.0% 39.59 -17.2%
UltraDow UDPIX 31.20 -0.2% SELL 24 14.0% 14.0% 39.72 -21.5%
Ultra Intl UNPIX 27.32 +1.1% SELL 24 13.4% 12.1% 32.46 -15.8%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.13 +0.4% SELL 33 1.8% -4.0% 33.34 -3.6%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 14.77 -1.6% SELL 131 16.5% 15.2% 17.01 -13.2%
Healthcare HCPIX 13.72 +1.3% SELL 160 14.7% 12.9% 15.26 -10.1%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 7.91 +1.9% SELL 164 21.0% 18.7% 9.01 -12.2%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 32.43 -0.2% SELL 167 15.0% 15.0% 37.68 -13.9%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.60 -0.1% SELL 217 4.7% 0.6% 29.10 -5.1%
LgCap Value LVPIX 40.00 +0.1% SELL 224 15.3% 15.2% 45.70 -12.5%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 23.00 -1.4% SELL 236 23.5% 23.5% 27.67 -16.9%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 26.71 +0.3% SELL 237 5.7% 4.5% 29.01 -7.9%
Financial FNPIX 13.72 -3.0% SELL 255 49.4% 49.4% 21.36 -35.8%
Mobile Tel WCPIX 8.83 +7.0% SELL 255 74.2% 53.8% 11.23 -21.4%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 25.55 -0.4% SELL 255 50.3% 37.2% 30.99 -17.5%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 16.36 -0.3% SELL 311 34.9% 34.6% 19.21 -14.8%
Banks BKPIX 14.28 -3.6% SELL 346 64.4% 64.4% 26.38 -45.9%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 7.13 -2.2% SELL 746 83.3% 79.4% 8.57 -16.8%
Average +0.1% 97 14.3% 11.4% -3.8%
****************************************************************************
SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR PROFUNDS FUNDS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 18 39 25 32
% of Total......: 32% 68% 44% 56%
Ave Days Elapsed: 27 32 63 124
Ave High Profit.: +9% +11% +9% +19%
Ave Profit......: +8% +10% +6% +16%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -14%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 39%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 51%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
ProFund Bull SELL 40 +8.0% +7.9% SELL 3 0.0% -0.1%
ProFund Bear BUY 40 +8.4% +8.4% BUY 4 +0.4% +0.3%
UltraBull SELL 40 +15.8% +15.7% SELL 19 +8.6% +8.4%
UltraBear BUY 40 +16.9% +16.8% BUY 19 +8.5% +8.4%
Nasdaq 100 SELL 40 +5.8% +5.8% *SELL 0 0.0% -3.7%
Short NDX BUY 40 +6.0% +6.0% BUY 4 +1.1% +1.1%
UltraDow SELL 41 +22.3% +22.3% SELL 24 +14.0% +14.0%
UShrt Dow 30 BUY 41 +26.4% +26.4% BUY 27 +18.3% +18.3%
Ultra NDX SELL 40 +12.8% +12.8% SELL 19 +9.5% +9.5%
UltraShrtNDX BUY 40 +11.9% +11.9% BUY 4 +2.0% +2.0%
UltraMid-Cap SELL 38 +9.5% +9.5% SELL 6 +5.8% +5.8%
UShrt MidCap BUY 38 +9.0% +9.0% BUY 3 +1.1% +1.1%
UltraSmlCap SELL 21 +12.3% +12.3% SELL 19 +7.7% +7.7%
UShrt SmlCap BUY 21 +13.0% +13.0% BUY 6 +5.0% +5.0%
Mid-Cap Warn! SELL 38 +4.7% +4.7% BUY 73 +7.5% -2.0%
Small-Cap Warn! SELL 21 +6.3% +6.3% BUY 48 +3.7% -6.4%
Short Sm-Cap BUY 21 +6.2% +6.2% * BUY 0 0.0% -5.0%
LgCap Growth Warn! SELL 39 +5.6% +5.5% BUY 73 +2.9% -4.7%
LgCap Value SELL 40 +10.9% +10.8% SELL 224 +15.3% +15.2%
Mid-Cap Gth Warn! SELL 38 +2.5% +2.5% BUY 75 +9.2% +1.4%
Mid-Cap Val SELL 38 +6.8% +6.8% *SELL 0 0.0% -5.5%
Sml-Cap Gth Warn! SELL 21 +5.2% +5.2% BUY 60 +5.1% -3.2%
Sml-Cap Val SELL 21 +6.8% +6.8% *SELL 0 0.0% -8.8%
US Gvt Plus Warn! BUY 7 +3.8% +3.8% SELL 33 +1.9% -4.1%
Rising Rates Warn! SELL 7 +3.7% +3.7% BUY 33 +1.5% -4.3%
Rise Rate 10 SELL 5 +1.2% +1.2% SELL 217 +4.7% +0.6%
Rise Dollar SELL 5 +0.8% +0.5% SELL 237 +5.7% +4.5%
Fall Dollar BUY 5 +0.8% +0.5% BUY 581 +20.1% +18.5%
Banks SELL 49 +40.7% +40.7% SELL 346 +64.4% +64.4%
Basic Mat'l Warn! SELL 38 +1.1% -1.0% BUY 96 +25.9% +17.0%
Biotech Buy? * BUY 0 0.0% -2.2% BUY 90 +3.5% +0.2%
Consumer Gds SELL 40 +12.0% +12.0% SELL 167 +15.0% +15.0%
Consumer Svc SELL 40 +12.9% +12.9% SELL 236 +23.5% +23.5%
Financial SELL 49 +30.6% +30.6% SELL 255 +49.5% +49.5%
Healthcare SELL 20 +4.4% +2.4% SELL 160 +14.7% +12.9%
Industrial SELL 39 +14.3% +13.7% SELL 12 +8.6% +8.0%
Internet SELL 34 +14.5% +14.5% SELL 19 +8.0% +8.0%
Mobile Tel SELL 33 +12.6% 0.0% SELL 255 +74.2% +53.8%
Oil & Gas Warn! SELL 34 +3.9% -3.7% BUY 89 +25.2% +20.6%
Shrt Oil&Gas Warn! BUY 34 +2.6% -3.3% SELL 131 +16.5% +15.2%
Oil Eqp/Svcs Buy? * BUY 0 0.0% -3.0% BUY 96 +47.1% +45.1%
Pharmaceutcl SELL 24 +4.8% +2.1% SELL 164 +21.0% +18.7%
Precious Met BUY 4 +5.4% +5.4% BUY 4 +5.4% +5.4%
Shrt Prec Mt SELL 4 +3.5% +3.5% SELL 311 +34.9% +34.6%
Real Estate SELL 54 +16.8% +16.8% SELL 21 +11.0% +11.0%
Shrt Real Es BUY 54 +11.4% +11.4% BUY 10 +5.0% +5.0%
Semiconductr SELL 38 +12.3% +12.3% SELL 20 +8.9% +8.9%
Technology SELL 39 +10.2% +10.2% SELL 6 +5.3% +5.3%
Telecom SELL 39 +18.3% +14.7% SELL 19 +10.9% +7.0%
Utilities Warn! SELL 28 +3.4% +0.5% BUY 75 +4.9% +1.6%
Europe 30 Warn! SELL 34 +6.6% +5.5% BUY 68 +5.3% -3.3%
Ult Emer Mkt SELL 34 +16.7% +14.0% SELL 20 +6.2% +3.2%
UlSht Emer M Warn! BUY 34 +16.4% +12.5% SELL 746 +83.3% +79.4%
Ultra Intl SELL 39 +20.4% +19.2% SELL 24 +13.4% +12.1%
UltShrt Intl BUY 40 +22.0% +20.3% BUY 21 +13.4% +11.8%
Ultra Japan SELL 24 +9.7% +9.7% SELL 255 +50.3% +37.2%
UltSht Japan BUY 24 +8.3% +8.3% BUY 10 +3.3% +3.3%
Average 31 +10.2% +9.2% 97 +14.3% +11.4%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close NAV: The fund's net asset value as of today's close.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other securities
in the list.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Signal Flag: When the PMO signal disagrees with the PMM signal, the flag
will be "Warn!" On the day the PMO signal changes back into agreement
with the PMM signal, the flag will remind that new positions may be
considered by indicating "Buy?" or "Sell?"
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Profunds Tracker Daily Report for Monday 6/30/2008
Copyright 2008 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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