Gold at New Highs, Dollar Continues Slump Monday November
16, 2009
By Mike Paulenoff MPTrader.com
More of the same... spot gold prices continue to climb to new all-time
highs, while the dollar index continues to slump just below 75.00 (which
my work argues is part of a developing intermediate term bottoming
pattern that will be completed during the remainder of 2009, ahead of a
powerful recovery rally period). Meanwhile, my next optimal target
zone for spot gold is $1140-$1150. Do you think that the subject of the
falling dollar (the peg for the Chinese currency, as well as most of the
other Asian tigers, etc) came up in conversation on this trip? My sense
is that Obama needs and asked for a bit more patience from his Asian
counterparts, for the U.S. economy to show more substantial growth,
after which he likely made a commitment to focus on policies that will
stabilize and then strengthen the dollar- and dollar-denominated
investments from our "creditors." If I am correct, and hints of such
are revealed to the markets in the upcoming days/weeks, then any
surprises will be dollar-positive, and potentially very painful for the
entrenched dollar bears.
Mike Paulenoff is author of MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of
his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals,
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