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DECISION POINT
DAILY DOW 30 STOCK REVIEW
FRIDAY 10/30/2009
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This report highlights daily results of the stocks in the DOW 30 Index.
Daily chart books of these stocks (6-Mo and 2-Yr) are also available (see
Main Menu). THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NOT A
SOLICITATION OR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
*****************************************************************************
DOW 30 RESULTS FOR FRIDAY 10/30/09
10/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
3M Company MMM 73.57 -1.91 -2.5% 4491.8 92% 2.8% 18 0.5
Alcoa AA 12.42 -0.58 -4.5% 45833.6 135% 1.0% D
American Express AXP 34.84 -1.60 -4.4% 13244.2 73% 2.1% 32 0.7
AT&T Corp T 25.67 -0.56 -2.1% 41065.3 131% 6.4% 13 0.8
BankAmerica Corp BAC 14.58 -1.15 -7.3% 305823.2 111% 0.3% 486 1.3
Boeing BA 47.80 -1.01 -2.1% 8661.5 120% 3.5% D
Caterpillar CAT 55.06 -2.19 -3.8% 11979.6 95% 3.1% 26 0.8
Chevron Corp CVX 76.54 -1.41 -1.8% 19155.1 151% 3.6% 12 0.4
Cisco Systems CSCO 22.81 -0.71 -3.0% 60692.6 116% 22
Coca Cola KO 53.31 -0.78 -1.4% 10715.0 90% 3.1% 20 0.6
Disney DIS 27.37 -0.77 -2.7% 12842.7 94% 1.3% 16 0.2
Dupont DD 31.82 -1.15 -3.5% 10394.4 125% 5.2% 42 2.2
Exxon Mobil XOM 71.67 -2.29 -3.1% 31746.6 110% 2.3% 17 0.4
General Electric GE 14.26 -0.61 -4.1% 128980.8 115% 2.8% 13 0.4
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.46 -0.89 -1.8% 16550.1 95% 0.7% 16 0.1
Home Depot HD 25.09 -0.82 -3.2% 19274.0 108% 3.6% 18 0.7
IBM IBM 120.61 -2.26 -1.8% 7596.6 91% 1.8% 12 0.2
Intel INTC 19.11 -0.11 -0.6% 91530.1 135% 2.9% 47 1.4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 59.05 -0.81 -1.4% 20722.8 153% 3.3% 13 0.4
JP Morgan Chase JPM 41.77 -2.58 -5.8% 57858.3 101% 0.5% 27 0.1
Kraft Foods KFT 27.52 -0.03 -0.1% 16761.7 142% 4.2% 13 0.6
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.61 -0.53 -0.9% 9769.2 98% 3.8% 15 0.6
Merck MRK 30.93 -0.38 -1.2% 38646.1 204% 4.9% 8 0.4
Microsoft MSFT 27.73 -0.49 -1.7% 72565.2 108% 1.9% 18 0.3
Pfizer PFE 17.03 -0.52 -3.0% 64839.4 116% 3.8% 14 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 58.00 -1.54 -2.6% 21008.3 147% 3.0% 14 0.4
Travelers Cos TRV 49.79 -2.12 -4.1% 8685.5 150% 2.7% 9 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 61.45 -2.13 -3.4% 8114.6 131% 2.5% 15 0.4
Verizon VZ 29.59 -0.45 -1.5% 24238.0 132% 6.4% 15 1.0
Wal-Mart WMT 49.68 -0.72 -1.4% 17460.6 88% 2.2% 15 0.3
Average -1.10 -2.7% 40041.6 119% 2.9% 16 0.6
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE CHANGE
10/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Kraft Foods KFT 27.52 -0.03 -0.1% 16761.7 142% 4.2% 13 0.6
Intel INTC 19.11 -0.11 -0.6% 91530.1 135% 2.9% 47 1.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.61 -0.53 -0.9% 9769.2 98% 3.8% 15 0.6
Merck MRK 30.93 -0.38 -1.2% 38646.1 204% 4.9% 8 0.4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 59.05 -0.81 -1.4% 20722.8 153% 3.3% 13 0.4
Wal-Mart WMT 49.68 -0.72 -1.4% 17460.6 88% 2.2% 15 0.3
Coca Cola KO 53.31 -0.78 -1.4% 10715.0 90% 3.1% 20 0.6
Verizon VZ 29.59 -0.45 -1.5% 24238.0 132% 6.4% 15 1.0
Microsoft MSFT 27.73 -0.49 -1.7% 72565.2 108% 1.9% 18 0.3
Chevron Corp CVX 76.54 -1.41 -1.8% 19155.1 151% 3.6% 12 0.4
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.46 -0.89 -1.8% 16550.1 95% 0.7% 16 0.1
IBM IBM 120.61 -2.26 -1.8% 7596.6 91% 1.8% 12 0.2
Boeing BA 47.80 -1.01 -2.1% 8661.5 120% 3.5% D
AT&T Corp T 25.67 -0.56 -2.1% 41065.3 131% 6.4% 13 0.8
3M Company MMM 73.57 -1.91 -2.5% 4491.8 92% 2.8% 18 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 58.00 -1.54 -2.6% 21008.3 147% 3.0% 14 0.4
Disney DIS 27.37 -0.77 -2.7% 12842.7 94% 1.3% 16 0.2
Pfizer PFE 17.03 -0.52 -3.0% 64839.4 116% 3.8% 14 0.5
Cisco Systems CSCO 22.81 -0.71 -3.0% 60692.6 116% 22
Exxon Mobil XOM 71.67 -2.29 -3.1% 31746.6 110% 2.3% 17 0.4
Home Depot HD 25.09 -0.82 -3.2% 19274.0 108% 3.6% 18 0.7
United Technolgy UTX 61.45 -2.13 -3.4% 8114.6 131% 2.5% 15 0.4
Dupont DD 31.82 -1.15 -3.5% 10394.4 125% 5.2% 42 2.2
Caterpillar CAT 55.06 -2.19 -3.8% 11979.6 95% 3.1% 26 0.8
Travelers Cos TRV 49.79 -2.12 -4.1% 8685.5 150% 2.7% 9 0.2
General Electric GE 14.26 -0.61 -4.1% 128980.8 115% 2.8% 13 0.4
American Express AXP 34.84 -1.60 -4.4% 13244.2 73% 2.1% 32 0.7
Alcoa AA 12.42 -0.58 -4.5% 45833.6 135% 1.0% D
JP Morgan Chase JPM 41.77 -2.58 -5.8% 57858.3 101% 0.5% 27 0.1
BankAmerica Corp BAC 14.58 -1.15 -7.3% 305823.2 111% 0.3% 486 1.3
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume. High
percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is being
shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
10/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Merck MRK 30.93 -0.38 -1.2% 38646.1 204% 4.9% 8 0.4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 59.05 -0.81 -1.4% 20722.8 153% 3.3% 13 0.4
Chevron Corp CVX 76.54 -1.41 -1.8% 19155.1 151% 3.6% 12 0.4
Travelers Cos TRV 49.79 -2.12 -4.1% 8685.5 150% 2.7% 9 0.2
Procter & Gamble PG 58.00 -1.54 -2.6% 21008.3 147% 3.0% 14 0.4
Kraft Foods KFT 27.52 -0.03 -0.1% 16761.7 142% 4.2% 13 0.6
Intel INTC 19.11 -0.11 -0.6% 91530.1 135% 2.9% 47 1.4
Alcoa AA 12.42 -0.58 -4.5% 45833.6 135% 1.0% D
Verizon VZ 29.59 -0.45 -1.5% 24238.0 132% 6.4% 15 1.0
United Technolgy UTX 61.45 -2.13 -3.4% 8114.6 131% 2.5% 15 0.4
AT&T Corp T 25.67 -0.56 -2.1% 41065.3 131% 6.4% 13 0.8
Dupont DD 31.82 -1.15 -3.5% 10394.4 125% 5.2% 42 2.2
Boeing BA 47.80 -1.01 -2.1% 8661.5 120% 3.5% D
Cisco Systems CSCO 22.81 -0.71 -3.0% 60692.6 116% 22
Pfizer PFE 17.03 -0.52 -3.0% 64839.4 116% 3.8% 14 0.5
General Electric GE 14.26 -0.61 -4.1% 128980.8 115% 2.8% 13 0.4
BankAmerica Corp BAC 14.58 -1.15 -7.3% 305823.2 111% 0.3% 486 1.3
Exxon Mobil XOM 71.67 -2.29 -3.1% 31746.6 110% 2.3% 17 0.4
Home Depot HD 25.09 -0.82 -3.2% 19274.0 108% 3.6% 18 0.7
Microsoft MSFT 27.73 -0.49 -1.7% 72565.2 108% 1.9% 18 0.3
JP Morgan Chase JPM 41.77 -2.58 -5.8% 57858.3 101% 0.5% 27 0.1
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.61 -0.53 -0.9% 9769.2 98% 3.8% 15 0.6
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.46 -0.89 -1.8% 16550.1 95% 0.7% 16 0.1
Caterpillar CAT 55.06 -2.19 -3.8% 11979.6 95% 3.1% 26 0.8
Disney DIS 27.37 -0.77 -2.7% 12842.7 94% 1.3% 16 0.2
3M Company MMM 73.57 -1.91 -2.5% 4491.8 92% 2.8% 18 0.5
IBM IBM 120.61 -2.26 -1.8% 7596.6 91% 1.8% 12 0.2
Coca Cola KO 53.31 -0.78 -1.4% 10715.0 90% 3.1% 20 0.6
Wal-Mart WMT 49.68 -0.72 -1.4% 17460.6 88% 2.2% 15 0.3
American Express AXP 34.84 -1.60 -4.4% 13244.2 73% 2.1% 32 0.7
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY YIELD
10/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Verizon VZ 29.59 -0.45 -1.5% 24238.0 132% 6.4% 15 1.0
AT&T Corp T 25.67 -0.56 -2.1% 41065.3 131% 6.4% 13 0.8
Dupont DD 31.82 -1.15 -3.5% 10394.4 125% 5.2% 42 2.2
Merck MRK 30.93 -0.38 -1.2% 38646.1 204% 4.9% 8 0.4
Kraft Foods KFT 27.52 -0.03 -0.1% 16761.7 142% 4.2% 13 0.6
Pfizer PFE 17.03 -0.52 -3.0% 64839.4 116% 3.8% 14 0.5
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.61 -0.53 -0.9% 9769.2 98% 3.8% 15 0.6
Home Depot HD 25.09 -0.82 -3.2% 19274.0 108% 3.6% 18 0.7
Chevron Corp CVX 76.54 -1.41 -1.8% 19155.1 151% 3.6% 12 0.4
Boeing BA 47.80 -1.01 -2.1% 8661.5 120% 3.5% D
Johnson & Johns JNJ 59.05 -0.81 -1.4% 20722.8 153% 3.3% 13 0.4
Coca Cola KO 53.31 -0.78 -1.4% 10715.0 90% 3.1% 20 0.6
Caterpillar CAT 55.06 -2.19 -3.8% 11979.6 95% 3.1% 26 0.8
Procter & Gamble PG 58.00 -1.54 -2.6% 21008.3 147% 3.0% 14 0.4
Intel INTC 19.11 -0.11 -0.6% 91530.1 135% 2.9% 47 1.4
General Electric GE 14.26 -0.61 -4.1% 128980.8 115% 2.8% 13 0.4
3M Company MMM 73.57 -1.91 -2.5% 4491.8 92% 2.8% 18 0.5
Travelers Cos TRV 49.79 -2.12 -4.1% 8685.5 150% 2.7% 9 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 61.45 -2.13 -3.4% 8114.6 131% 2.5% 15 0.4
Exxon Mobil XOM 71.67 -2.29 -3.1% 31746.6 110% 2.3% 17 0.4
Wal-Mart WMT 49.68 -0.72 -1.4% 17460.6 88% 2.2% 15 0.3
American Express AXP 34.84 -1.60 -4.4% 13244.2 73% 2.1% 32 0.7
Microsoft MSFT 27.73 -0.49 -1.7% 72565.2 108% 1.9% 18 0.3
IBM IBM 120.61 -2.26 -1.8% 7596.6 91% 1.8% 12 0.2
Disney DIS 27.37 -0.77 -2.7% 12842.7 94% 1.3% 16 0.2
Alcoa AA 12.42 -0.58 -4.5% 45833.6 135% 1.0% D
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.46 -0.89 -1.8% 16550.1 95% 0.7% 16 0.1
JP Morgan Chase JPM 41.77 -2.58 -5.8% 57858.3 101% 0.5% 27 0.1
BankAmerica Corp BAC 14.58 -1.15 -7.3% 305823.2 111% 0.3% 486 1.3
Cisco Systems CSCO 22.81 -0.71 -3.0% 60692.6 116% 22
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY P/E RATIO
10/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Merck MRK 30.93 -0.38 -1.2% 38646.1 204% 4.9% 8 0.4
Travelers Cos TRV 49.79 -2.12 -4.1% 8685.5 150% 2.7% 9 0.2
IBM IBM 120.61 -2.26 -1.8% 7596.6 91% 1.8% 12 0.2
Chevron Corp CVX 76.54 -1.41 -1.8% 19155.1 151% 3.6% 12 0.4
AT&T Corp T 25.67 -0.56 -2.1% 41065.3 131% 6.4% 13 0.8
Johnson & Johns JNJ 59.05 -0.81 -1.4% 20722.8 153% 3.3% 13 0.4
General Electric GE 14.26 -0.61 -4.1% 128980.8 115% 2.8% 13 0.4
Kraft Foods KFT 27.52 -0.03 -0.1% 16761.7 142% 4.2% 13 0.6
Procter & Gamble PG 58.00 -1.54 -2.6% 21008.3 147% 3.0% 14 0.4
Pfizer PFE 17.03 -0.52 -3.0% 64839.4 116% 3.8% 14 0.5
Wal-Mart WMT 49.68 -0.72 -1.4% 17460.6 88% 2.2% 15 0.3
United Technolgy UTX 61.45 -2.13 -3.4% 8114.6 131% 2.5% 15 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.61 -0.53 -0.9% 9769.2 98% 3.8% 15 0.6
Verizon VZ 29.59 -0.45 -1.5% 24238.0 132% 6.4% 15 1.0
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.46 -0.89 -1.8% 16550.1 95% 0.7% 16 0.1
Disney DIS 27.37 -0.77 -2.7% 12842.7 94% 1.3% 16 0.2
Exxon Mobil XOM 71.67 -2.29 -3.1% 31746.6 110% 2.3% 17 0.4
Microsoft MSFT 27.73 -0.49 -1.7% 72565.2 108% 1.9% 18 0.3
Home Depot HD 25.09 -0.82 -3.2% 19274.0 108% 3.6% 18 0.7
3M Company MMM 73.57 -1.91 -2.5% 4491.8 92% 2.8% 18 0.5
Coca Cola KO 53.31 -0.78 -1.4% 10715.0 90% 3.1% 20 0.6
Cisco Systems CSCO 22.81 -0.71 -3.0% 60692.6 116% 22
Caterpillar CAT 55.06 -2.19 -3.8% 11979.6 95% 3.1% 26 0.8
JP Morgan Chase JPM 41.77 -2.58 -5.8% 57858.3 101% 0.5% 27 0.1
American Express AXP 34.84 -1.60 -4.4% 13244.2 73% 2.1% 32 0.7
Dupont DD 31.82 -1.15 -3.5% 10394.4 125% 5.2% 42 2.2
Intel INTC 19.11 -0.11 -0.6% 91530.1 135% 2.9% 47 1.4
BankAmerica Corp BAC 14.58 -1.15 -7.3% 305823.2 111% 0.3% 486 1.3
Alcoa AA 12.42 -0.58 -4.5% 45833.6 135% 1.0% D
Boeing BA 47.80 -1.01 -2.1% 8661.5 120% 3.5% D
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DOW 30 DAILY BLUE CHIP STOCK PMO STRENGTH RANK ANALYSIS
This report presents ranking of DOW 30 stocks based on Decision
Point's proprietary PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator). The PMO measures a
stock's absolute strength based on price momentum. THIS REPORT IS TO ASSIST
RESEARCH AND IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.
The Hot/Cold Groups & Blinkers are explained at the end of this report.
STOCKS SORTED BY PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) RANK
|RankChg-| |---- % Price Change ----| Hot/Cold
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group &
Stock Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 10/30 Day Day YTD Blinkers
--------------------- ---- ---- ---- ------ ----- ----- ------ |---------|
Caterpillar CAT 1 0 +1 -3.8% -4% +3% +29% 4 -+ -+
Microsoft MSFT 2 +7 +14 -1.7% -1% +9% +45% 3 ++ -+ +
American Express AXP 3 0 +2 -4.4% +1% 0% +94% 5 -- -+
Chevron Corp CVX 4 +1 +19 -1.8% 0% +5% +6% 3 ++ -+ +
United Technolgy UTX 5 -1 +7 -3.4% -7% -1% +17% 5 -- -+ -
Pfizer PFE 6 +6 +15 -3.0% -1% +1% 0% 5 -- -+ +
Travelers Cos TRV 7 +15 +10 -4.1% -3% +2% +11% 3 ++ -+ +
Hewlett Packard HPQ 8 +2 +3 -1.8% -2% 0% +32% 5 -- -+ +
Exxon Mobil XOM 9 +10 +18 -3.1% -3% +3% -9% 3 +- -+ +
Procter & Gamble PG 10 +8 +3 -2.6% +1% +2% -3% 4 -+ -+ +
Cisco Systems CSCO 11 -3 -2 -3.0% -6% -5% +40% 5 -- -+ -
3M Company MMM 12 +1 +3 -2.5% -5% -2% +31% 5 -- -+ +
McDonalds Corp MCD 13 +8 +11 -0.9% -1% +3% -3% 3 ++ -+ +
Coca Cola KO 14 +1 -7 -1.4% 0% -2% +21% 5 -- -+ +
Disney DIS 15 -9 -5 -2.7% -5% -4% +21% 5 -- -+ -
Dupont DD 16 -2 +4 -3.5% -4% -3% +32% 5 -- -+ -
JP Morgan Chase JPM 17 -10 -11 -5.8% -8% -9% +35% 5 -- -+ -
Merck MRK 18 -2 -4 -1.2% -5% -5% +6% 5 -- -+ -
IBM IBM 19 +5 -1 -1.8% 0% -4% +46% 5 -- -+ +
Alcoa AA 20 -18 -17 -4.5% -10% -13% +13% 5 -- -+ -
Kraft Foods KFT 21 +8 +9 -0.1% +2% +6% +6% 1 ++ ++ +
Intel INTC 22 -2 -3 -0.6% -3% -5% +34% 5 -- -+ -
General Electric GE 23 -12 -22 -4.1% -6% -12% -8% 5 -- -+ -
AT&T Corp T 24 +2 -2 -2.1% 0% 0% -4% 5 -- -+ +
Wal-Mart WMT 25 +1 +3 -1.4% -2% -1% -10% 5 -- -+ +
Johnson & Johns JNJ 26 -1 -1 -1.4% -2% -4% +1% 6 -- -- -
Boeing BA 27 -10 -23 -2.1% -4% -9% +14% 6 -- -- -
Verizon VZ 28 +2 +1 -1.5% +3% +1% -7% 2 ++ +- +
Home Depot HD 29 -1 -3 -3.2% -4% -7% +12% 6 -- -- -
BankAmerica Corp BAC 30 -7 -22 -7.3% -10% -17% +4% 6 -- -- -
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DOW 30 STOCKS PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 7 23
% of Total......: 23% 77%
Ave Days Elapsed: 17 11
Ave High Profit.: +5% +4%
Ave Profit......: +2% +4%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
10/30 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
Verizon VZ 29.59 -1.5% BUY 2 0.3% -1.2% R 3
Travelers Cos TRV 49.79 -4.1% BUY 7 1.2% -2.9% F 0
Microsoft MSFT 27.73 -1.7% BUY 15 7.4% 3.8% F 0
Chevron Corp CVX 76.54 -1.8% BUY 18 5.8% 3.9% F 0
Exxon Mobil XOM 71.67 -3.1% BUY 18 6.8% 2.2% F 0
Kraft Foods KFT 27.52 -0.1% BUY 18 5.2% 5.1% R 3
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.61 -0.9% BUY 43 5.4% 3.8% F 0
3M Company MMM 73.57 -2.5% SELL 2 1.2% 1.2% F 4
Caterpillar CAT 55.06 -3.8% SELL 2 0.0% -1.2% F 4
Pfizer PFE 17.03 -3.0% SELL 2 1.0% 1.0% F 0
United Technolgy UTX 61.45 -3.4% SELL 2 1.9% 1.9% F 4
Wal-Mart WMT 49.68 -1.4% SELL 2 0.4% 0.4% F 0
Disney DIS 27.37 -2.7% SELL 4 4.9% 4.5% F 7
Dupont DD 31.82 -3.5% SELL 4 1.9% 1.9% F 7
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.46 -1.8% SELL 4 1.9% 0.8% F 4
American Express AXP 34.84 -4.4% SELL 7 0.0% -0.8% F 0
Merck MRK 30.93 -1.2% SELL 7 4.6% 4.6% F 9
Intel INTC 19.11 -0.6% SELL 8 5.4% 5.0% F 10
Cisco Systems CSCO 22.81 -3.0% SELL 9 4.8% 4.8% F 10
IBM IBM 120.61 -1.8% SELL 9 0.6% 0.2% F 14
JP Morgan Chase JPM 41.77 -5.8% SELL 9 6.5% 6.5% F 14
Home Depot HD 25.09 -3.2% SELL 10 7.0% 7.0% F 10
Coca Cola KO 53.31 -1.4% SELL 11 2.8% 2.7% F 17
Alcoa AA 12.42 -4.5% SELL 14 15.0% 11.5% F 14
BankAmerica Corp BAC 14.58 -7.3% SELL 14 15.5% 15.5% F 14
Johnson & Johns JNJ 59.05 -1.4% SELL 15 3.1% 3.1% F 10
Procter & Gamble PG 58.00 -2.6% SELL 23 0.0% -2.6% F 0
AT&T Corp T 25.67 -2.1% SELL 28 3.1% 1.7% F 0
General Electric GE 14.26 -4.1% SELL 28 7.2% 7.2% F 15
Boeing BA 47.80 -2.1% SELL 29 9.4% 8.3% F 10
Average -2.7% 12 4.3% 3.3% 6
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DOW 30 STOCKS PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 25 5
% of Total......: 83% 17%
Ave Days Elapsed: 133 39
Ave High Profit.: +22% +1%
Ave Profit......: +15% -1%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -7%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the DOW 30 stocks.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
10/30 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Chevron Corp CVX 76.54 -1.8% BUY 91 13.3% 11.3% 70.16 +9.1%
AT&T Corp T 25.67 -2.1% BUY 95 6.6% 1.3% 24.32 +5.6%
Exxon Mobil XOM 71.67 -3.1% BUY 98 4.3% -0.3% 67.42 +6.3%
Travelers Cos TRV 49.79 -4.1% BUY 98 20.1% 15.2% 44.72 +11.3%
Verizon VZ 29.59 -1.5% BUY 99 3.3% -3.9% 28.62 +3.4%
Caterpillar CAT 55.06 -3.8% BUY 101 51.0% 40.5% 44.26 +24.4%
Dupont DD 31.82 -3.5% BUY 102 23.7% 13.7% 29.93 +6.3%
United Technolgy UTX 61.45 -3.4% BUY 102 20.7% 12.5% 55.96 +9.8%
Home Depot HD 25.09 -3.2% BUY 105 15.4% 2.5% 25.07 +0.1%
Disney DIS 27.37 -2.7% BUY 106 20.5% 10.4% 25.44 +7.6%
JP Morgan Chase JPM 41.77 -5.8% BUY 107 30.2% 15.3% 38.11 +9.6%
Procter & Gamble PG 58.00 -2.6% BUY 107 10.6% 7.8% 53.59 +8.2%
American Express AXP 34.84 -4.4% BUY 109 49.4% 42.8% 28.70 +21.4%
Merck MRK 30.93 -1.2% BUY 123 22.6% 12.4% 29.55 +4.7%
Johnson & Johns JNJ 59.05 -1.4% BUY 127 12.0% 5.8% 56.28 +4.9%
Pfizer PFE 17.03 -3.0% BUY 127 18.4% 12.2% 15.86 +7.4%
Kraft Foods KFT 27.52 -0.1% BUY 154 11.6% 7.8% 25.65 +7.3%
Microsoft MSFT 27.73 -1.7% BUY 154 38.1% 33.5% 23.35 +18.7%
Coca Cola KO 53.31 -1.4% BUY 165 21.4% 17.7% 48.91 +9.0%
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.46 -1.8% BUY 179 31.7% 28.3% 41.33 +14.8%
Intel INTC 19.11 -0.6% BUY 179 27.0% 16.5% 17.79 +7.4%
3M Company MMM 73.57 -2.5% BUY 182 38.3% 29.2% 65.79 +11.8%
Cisco Systems CSCO 22.81 -3.0% BUY 185 30.6% 22.2% 20.85 +9.4%
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.61 -0.9% BUY 211 8.2% 5.8% 53.96 +8.6%
IBM IBM 120.61 -1.8% BUY 221 31.3% 23.4% 110.43 +9.2%
Alcoa AA 12.42 -4.5% SELL 2 0.0% -4.1% 13.12 -5.4%
BankAmerica Corp BAC 14.58 -7.3% SELL 2 2.9% 2.9% 16.04 -9.1%
Boeing BA 47.80 -2.1% SELL 2 0.0% -1.2% 51.94 -8.0%
General Electric GE 14.26 -4.1% SELL 2 1.1% 1.1% 15.69 -9.1%
Wal-Mart WMT 49.68 -1.4% SELL 189 0.1% -4.9% 52.04 -4.5%
Average -2.7% 117 18.8% 12.6% +6.7%
****************************************************************************
DOW 30 SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR DOW 30 STOCKS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 7 23 25 5
% of Total......: 23% 77% 83% 17%
Ave Days Elapsed: 17 11 133 39
Ave High Profit.: +5% +4% +22% +1%
Ave Profit......: +2% +4% +15% -1%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -7%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 7%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 83%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
3M Company Warn! SELL 2 +1.2% +1.2% BUY 182 +38.3% +29.2%
Alcoa SELL 14 +15.0% +11.5% SELL 2 0.0% -4.1%
American Expre Warn! SELL 7 0.0% -0.8% BUY 109 +49.4% +42.9%
AT&T Corp Warn! SELL 28 +3.1% +1.7% BUY 95 +6.6% +1.3%
BankAmerica Co SELL 14 +15.5% +15.5% SELL 2 +2.9% +2.9%
Boeing SELL 29 +9.4% +8.3% SELL 2 0.0% -1.2%
Caterpillar Warn! SELL 2 0.0% -1.2% BUY 101 +51.1% +40.5%
Chevron Corp BUY 18 +5.8% +3.9% BUY 91 +13.3% +11.3%
Cisco Systems Warn! SELL 9 +4.8% +4.8% BUY 185 +30.6% +22.2%
Coca Cola Warn! SELL 11 +2.9% +2.7% BUY 165 +21.4% +17.7%
Disney Warn! SELL 4 +4.9% +4.5% BUY 106 +20.5% +10.4%
Dupont Warn! SELL 4 +1.9% +1.9% BUY 102 +23.7% +13.7%
Exxon Mobil BUY 18 +6.8% +2.2% BUY 98 +4.3% -0.3%
General Electr SELL 28 +7.2% +7.2% SELL 2 +1.1% +1.1%
Hewlett Packar Warn! SELL 4 +1.9% +0.8% BUY 179 +31.7% +28.3%
Home Depot Warn! SELL 10 +7.0% +7.0% BUY 105 +15.4% +2.5%
IBM Warn! SELL 9 +0.6% +0.2% BUY 221 +31.3% +23.4%
Intel Warn! SELL 8 +5.4% +5.0% BUY 179 +27.0% +16.5%
Johnson & John Warn! SELL 15 +3.1% +3.1% BUY 127 +12.0% +5.8%
JP Morgan Chas Warn! SELL 9 +6.5% +6.5% BUY 107 +30.2% +15.3%
Kraft Foods BUY 18 +5.2% +5.1% BUY 154 +11.6% +7.8%
McDonalds Corp BUY 43 +5.4% +3.8% BUY 211 +8.2% +5.8%
Merck Warn! SELL 7 +4.6% +4.6% BUY 123 +22.6% +12.4%
Microsoft BUY 15 +7.4% +3.8% BUY 154 +38.1% +33.5%
Pfizer Warn! SELL 2 +1.1% +1.1% BUY 127 +18.5% +12.2%
Procter & Gamb Warn! SELL 23 0.0% -2.6% BUY 107 +10.7% +7.8%
Travelers Cos BUY 7 +1.2% -2.9% BUY 98 +20.1% +15.2%
United Technol Warn! SELL 2 +1.9% +1.9% BUY 102 +20.7% +12.6%
Verizon BUY 2 +0.3% -1.2% BUY 99 +3.3% -3.9%
Wal-Mart SELL 2 +0.4% +0.4% SELL 189 +0.1% -4.9%
Average 12 +4.4% +3.3% 117 +18.8% +12.6%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the stock traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
% Ave Daily Vol: Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
250-EMA of volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume.
High percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is
being shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
Yield: Dividend expressed as a percentage of the closing price.
Payout Ratio: Dividend divided by the earnings. If this number is greater
than 1.0 it means that the company is paying out more in dividends than it
is earning. Not good.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other stocks
this group.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily DOW 30 Stock Review for Friday 10/30/2009
Copyright 2009 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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