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DECISION POINT
DAILY DOW 30 STOCK REVIEW
TUESDAY 8/31/2010
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This report highlights daily results of the stocks in the DOW 30 Index.
Daily chart books of these stocks (6-Mo and 2-Yr) are also available (see
Main Menu). THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NOT A
SOLICITATION OR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
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DOW 30 RESULTS FOR TUESDAY 8/31/10
08/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
3M Company MMM 78.55 -1.10 -1.4% 4921.2 111% 2.7% 14 0.4
Alcoa AA 10.22 -0.03 -0.3% 21072.4 66% 1.2% D
American Express AXP 39.87 -0.02 -0.1% 8262.0 70% 1.8% 15 0.3
AT&T Corp T 27.03 +0.40 +1.5% 32594.6 105% 6.2% 13 0.8
BankAmerica Corp BAC 12.46 +0.14 +1.1% 172222.4 88% 0.3% D
Boeing BA 61.13 -0.97 -1.6% 5292.6 86% 2.7% 48 1.3
Caterpillar CAT 65.16 +0.69 +1.1% 6725.8 70% 2.7% 27 0.7
Chevron Corp CVX 74.08 +0.30 +0.4% 9075.1 79% 3.9% 9 0.3
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.99 -0.33 -1.6% 93921.0 170% 15
Coca Cola KO 55.88 +0.33 +0.6% 9209.7 86% 3.1% 18 0.6
Disney DIS 32.54 +0.19 +0.6% 12431.1 98% 1.1% 16 0.2
Dupont DD 40.77 +0.45 +1.1% 6851.8 87% 4.0% 12 0.5
Exxon Mobil XOM 59.11 +0.11 +0.2% 26704.7 92% 3.0% 11 0.3
General Electric GE 14.48 -0.04 -0.3% 58888.2 70% 3.3% 15 0.5
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.45 -0.11 -0.3% 30113.1 153% 0.8% 11
Home Depot HD 27.82 -0.17 -0.6% 12356.6 70% 3.4% 16 0.5
IBM IBM 123.13 -0.27 -0.2% 5561.1 78% 2.1% 12 0.2
Intel INTC 17.67 -0.29 -1.6% 111071.1 155% 3.6% 11 0.4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 57.02 -0.28 -0.5% 14463.3 107% 3.8% 12 0.4
JP Morgan Chase JPM 36.36 +0.51 +1.4% 34645.0 78% 0.6% 11
Kraft Foods KFT 29.91 +0.21 +0.7% 9133.8 71% 3.9% 11 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 73.06 +0.32 +0.4% 5564.9 72% 3.0% 17 0.5
Merck MRK 35.16 +0.43 +1.2% 16474.7 98% 4.3% 8 0.4
Microsoft MSFT 23.47 -0.17 -0.7% 65276.0 100% 2.2% 11 0.2
Pfizer PFE 15.91 +0.05 +0.3% 44472.3 75% 4.5% 15 0.7
Procter & Gamble PG 59.67 +0.30 +0.5% 12465.0 95% 3.2% 15 0.5
Travelers Cos TRV 48.99 +0.04 +0.1% 4539.7 91% 2.9% 7 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 65.21 -0.18 -0.3% 5163.4 98% 2.6% 15 0.4
Verizon VZ 29.53 +0.09 +0.3% 20902.0 99% 6.4% 118 7.6
Wal-Mart WMT 50.14 -0.41 -0.8% 24881.3 158% 2.4% 13 0.3
Average +0.01 +0.1% 29508.5 96% 2.9% 13 0.7
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE CHANGE
08/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
AT&T Corp T 27.03 +0.40 +1.5% 32594.6 105% 6.2% 13 0.8
JP Morgan Chase JPM 36.36 +0.51 +1.4% 34645.0 78% 0.6% 11
Merck MRK 35.16 +0.43 +1.2% 16474.7 98% 4.3% 8 0.4
BankAmerica Corp BAC 12.46 +0.14 +1.1% 172222.4 88% 0.3% D
Dupont DD 40.77 +0.45 +1.1% 6851.8 87% 4.0% 12 0.5
Caterpillar CAT 65.16 +0.69 +1.1% 6725.8 70% 2.7% 27 0.7
Kraft Foods KFT 29.91 +0.21 +0.7% 9133.8 71% 3.9% 11 0.4
Coca Cola KO 55.88 +0.33 +0.6% 9209.7 86% 3.1% 18 0.6
Disney DIS 32.54 +0.19 +0.6% 12431.1 98% 1.1% 16 0.2
Procter & Gamble PG 59.67 +0.30 +0.5% 12465.0 95% 3.2% 15 0.5
McDonalds Corp MCD 73.06 +0.32 +0.4% 5564.9 72% 3.0% 17 0.5
Chevron Corp CVX 74.08 +0.30 +0.4% 9075.1 79% 3.9% 9 0.3
Pfizer PFE 15.91 +0.05 +0.3% 44472.3 75% 4.5% 15 0.7
Verizon VZ 29.53 +0.09 +0.3% 20902.0 99% 6.4% 118 7.6
Exxon Mobil XOM 59.11 +0.11 +0.2% 26704.7 92% 3.0% 11 0.3
Travelers Cos TRV 48.99 +0.04 +0.1% 4539.7 91% 2.9% 7 0.2
American Express AXP 39.87 -0.02 -0.1% 8262.0 70% 1.8% 15 0.3
IBM IBM 123.13 -0.27 -0.2% 5561.1 78% 2.1% 12 0.2
General Electric GE 14.48 -0.04 -0.3% 58888.2 70% 3.3% 15 0.5
United Technolgy UTX 65.21 -0.18 -0.3% 5163.4 98% 2.6% 15 0.4
Alcoa AA 10.22 -0.03 -0.3% 21072.4 66% 1.2% D
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.45 -0.11 -0.3% 30113.1 153% 0.8% 11
Johnson & Johns JNJ 57.02 -0.28 -0.5% 14463.3 107% 3.8% 12 0.4
Home Depot HD 27.82 -0.17 -0.6% 12356.6 70% 3.4% 16 0.5
Microsoft MSFT 23.47 -0.17 -0.7% 65276.0 100% 2.2% 11 0.2
Wal-Mart WMT 50.14 -0.41 -0.8% 24881.3 158% 2.4% 13 0.3
3M Company MMM 78.55 -1.10 -1.4% 4921.2 111% 2.7% 14 0.4
Boeing BA 61.13 -0.97 -1.6% 5292.6 86% 2.7% 48 1.3
Intel INTC 17.67 -0.29 -1.6% 111071.1 155% 3.6% 11 0.4
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.99 -0.33 -1.6% 93921.0 170% 15
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume. High
percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is being
shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
08/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.99 -0.33 -1.6% 93921.0 170% 15
Wal-Mart WMT 50.14 -0.41 -0.8% 24881.3 158% 2.4% 13 0.3
Intel INTC 17.67 -0.29 -1.6% 111071.1 155% 3.6% 11 0.4
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.45 -0.11 -0.3% 30113.1 153% 0.8% 11
3M Company MMM 78.55 -1.10 -1.4% 4921.2 111% 2.7% 14 0.4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 57.02 -0.28 -0.5% 14463.3 107% 3.8% 12 0.4
AT&T Corp T 27.03 +0.40 +1.5% 32594.6 105% 6.2% 13 0.8
Microsoft MSFT 23.47 -0.17 -0.7% 65276.0 100% 2.2% 11 0.2
Verizon VZ 29.53 +0.09 +0.3% 20902.0 99% 6.4% 118 7.6
Disney DIS 32.54 +0.19 +0.6% 12431.1 98% 1.1% 16 0.2
Merck MRK 35.16 +0.43 +1.2% 16474.7 98% 4.3% 8 0.4
United Technolgy UTX 65.21 -0.18 -0.3% 5163.4 98% 2.6% 15 0.4
Procter & Gamble PG 59.67 +0.30 +0.5% 12465.0 95% 3.2% 15 0.5
Exxon Mobil XOM 59.11 +0.11 +0.2% 26704.7 92% 3.0% 11 0.3
Travelers Cos TRV 48.99 +0.04 +0.1% 4539.7 91% 2.9% 7 0.2
BankAmerica Corp BAC 12.46 +0.14 +1.1% 172222.4 88% 0.3% D
Dupont DD 40.77 +0.45 +1.1% 6851.8 87% 4.0% 12 0.5
Boeing BA 61.13 -0.97 -1.6% 5292.6 86% 2.7% 48 1.3
Coca Cola KO 55.88 +0.33 +0.6% 9209.7 86% 3.1% 18 0.6
Chevron Corp CVX 74.08 +0.30 +0.4% 9075.1 79% 3.9% 9 0.3
JP Morgan Chase JPM 36.36 +0.51 +1.4% 34645.0 78% 0.6% 11
IBM IBM 123.13 -0.27 -0.2% 5561.1 78% 2.1% 12 0.2
Pfizer PFE 15.91 +0.05 +0.3% 44472.3 75% 4.5% 15 0.7
McDonalds Corp MCD 73.06 +0.32 +0.4% 5564.9 72% 3.0% 17 0.5
Kraft Foods KFT 29.91 +0.21 +0.7% 9133.8 71% 3.9% 11 0.4
General Electric GE 14.48 -0.04 -0.3% 58888.2 70% 3.3% 15 0.5
Home Depot HD 27.82 -0.17 -0.6% 12356.6 70% 3.4% 16 0.5
American Express AXP 39.87 -0.02 -0.1% 8262.0 70% 1.8% 15 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 65.16 +0.69 +1.1% 6725.8 70% 2.7% 27 0.7
Alcoa AA 10.22 -0.03 -0.3% 21072.4 66% 1.2% D
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY YIELD
08/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Verizon VZ 29.53 +0.09 +0.3% 20902.0 99% 6.4% 118 7.6
AT&T Corp T 27.03 +0.40 +1.5% 32594.6 105% 6.2% 13 0.8
Pfizer PFE 15.91 +0.05 +0.3% 44472.3 75% 4.5% 15 0.7
Merck MRK 35.16 +0.43 +1.2% 16474.7 98% 4.3% 8 0.4
Dupont DD 40.77 +0.45 +1.1% 6851.8 87% 4.0% 12 0.5
Chevron Corp CVX 74.08 +0.30 +0.4% 9075.1 79% 3.9% 9 0.3
Kraft Foods KFT 29.91 +0.21 +0.7% 9133.8 71% 3.9% 11 0.4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 57.02 -0.28 -0.5% 14463.3 107% 3.8% 12 0.4
Intel INTC 17.67 -0.29 -1.6% 111071.1 155% 3.6% 11 0.4
Home Depot HD 27.82 -0.17 -0.6% 12356.6 70% 3.4% 16 0.5
General Electric GE 14.48 -0.04 -0.3% 58888.2 70% 3.3% 15 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 59.67 +0.30 +0.5% 12465.0 95% 3.2% 15 0.5
Coca Cola KO 55.88 +0.33 +0.6% 9209.7 86% 3.1% 18 0.6
McDonalds Corp MCD 73.06 +0.32 +0.4% 5564.9 72% 3.0% 17 0.5
Exxon Mobil XOM 59.11 +0.11 +0.2% 26704.7 92% 3.0% 11 0.3
Travelers Cos TRV 48.99 +0.04 +0.1% 4539.7 91% 2.9% 7 0.2
Boeing BA 61.13 -0.97 -1.6% 5292.6 86% 2.7% 48 1.3
Caterpillar CAT 65.16 +0.69 +1.1% 6725.8 70% 2.7% 27 0.7
3M Company MMM 78.55 -1.10 -1.4% 4921.2 111% 2.7% 14 0.4
United Technolgy UTX 65.21 -0.18 -0.3% 5163.4 98% 2.6% 15 0.4
Wal-Mart WMT 50.14 -0.41 -0.8% 24881.3 158% 2.4% 13 0.3
Microsoft MSFT 23.47 -0.17 -0.7% 65276.0 100% 2.2% 11 0.2
IBM IBM 123.13 -0.27 -0.2% 5561.1 78% 2.1% 12 0.2
American Express AXP 39.87 -0.02 -0.1% 8262.0 70% 1.8% 15 0.3
Alcoa AA 10.22 -0.03 -0.3% 21072.4 66% 1.2% D
Disney DIS 32.54 +0.19 +0.6% 12431.1 98% 1.1% 16 0.2
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.45 -0.11 -0.3% 30113.1 153% 0.8% 11
JP Morgan Chase JPM 36.36 +0.51 +1.4% 34645.0 78% 0.6% 11
BankAmerica Corp BAC 12.46 +0.14 +1.1% 172222.4 88% 0.3% D
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.99 -0.33 -1.6% 93921.0 170% 15
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY P/E RATIO
08/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Travelers Cos TRV 48.99 +0.04 +0.1% 4539.7 91% 2.9% 7 0.2
Merck MRK 35.16 +0.43 +1.2% 16474.7 98% 4.3% 8 0.4
Chevron Corp CVX 74.08 +0.30 +0.4% 9075.1 79% 3.9% 9 0.3
Intel INTC 17.67 -0.29 -1.6% 111071.1 155% 3.6% 11 0.4
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.45 -0.11 -0.3% 30113.1 153% 0.8% 11
JP Morgan Chase JPM 36.36 +0.51 +1.4% 34645.0 78% 0.6% 11
Kraft Foods KFT 29.91 +0.21 +0.7% 9133.8 71% 3.9% 11 0.4
Microsoft MSFT 23.47 -0.17 -0.7% 65276.0 100% 2.2% 11 0.2
Exxon Mobil XOM 59.11 +0.11 +0.2% 26704.7 92% 3.0% 11 0.3
IBM IBM 123.13 -0.27 -0.2% 5561.1 78% 2.1% 12 0.2
Johnson & Johns JNJ 57.02 -0.28 -0.5% 14463.3 107% 3.8% 12 0.4
Dupont DD 40.77 +0.45 +1.1% 6851.8 87% 4.0% 12 0.5
AT&T Corp T 27.03 +0.40 +1.5% 32594.6 105% 6.2% 13 0.8
Wal-Mart WMT 50.14 -0.41 -0.8% 24881.3 158% 2.4% 13 0.3
3M Company MMM 78.55 -1.10 -1.4% 4921.2 111% 2.7% 14 0.4
Procter & Gamble PG 59.67 +0.30 +0.5% 12465.0 95% 3.2% 15 0.5
Pfizer PFE 15.91 +0.05 +0.3% 44472.3 75% 4.5% 15 0.7
United Technolgy UTX 65.21 -0.18 -0.3% 5163.4 98% 2.6% 15 0.4
American Express AXP 39.87 -0.02 -0.1% 8262.0 70% 1.8% 15 0.3
General Electric GE 14.48 -0.04 -0.3% 58888.2 70% 3.3% 15 0.5
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.99 -0.33 -1.6% 93921.0 170% 15
Disney DIS 32.54 +0.19 +0.6% 12431.1 98% 1.1% 16 0.2
Home Depot HD 27.82 -0.17 -0.6% 12356.6 70% 3.4% 16 0.5
McDonalds Corp MCD 73.06 +0.32 +0.4% 5564.9 72% 3.0% 17 0.5
Coca Cola KO 55.88 +0.33 +0.6% 9209.7 86% 3.1% 18 0.6
Caterpillar CAT 65.16 +0.69 +1.1% 6725.8 70% 2.7% 27 0.7
Boeing BA 61.13 -0.97 -1.6% 5292.6 86% 2.7% 48 1.3
Verizon VZ 29.53 +0.09 +0.3% 20902.0 99% 6.4% 118 7.6
Alcoa AA 10.22 -0.03 -0.3% 21072.4 66% 1.2% D
BankAmerica Corp BAC 12.46 +0.14 +1.1% 172222.4 88% 0.3% D
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DOW 30 DAILY BLUE CHIP STOCK PMO STRENGTH RANK ANALYSIS
This report presents ranking of DOW 30 stocks based on Decision
Point's proprietary PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator). The PMO measures a
stock's absolute strength based on price momentum. THIS REPORT IS TO ASSIST
RESEARCH AND IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.
The Hot/Cold Groups & Blinkers are explained at the end of this report.
STOCKS SORTED BY PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) RANK
|RankChg-| |---- % Price Change ----| Hot/Cold
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group &
Stock Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 08/31 Day Day YTD Blinkers
--------------------- ---- ---- ---- ------ ----- ----- ------ |---------|
Verizon VZ 1 0 +2 +0.3% 0% -2% 0% 4 -+ -+
Dupont DD 2 0 -1 +1.1% +3% -2% +25% 4 -+ -+
Pfizer PFE 3 0 +3 +0.3% +1% -4% -10% 4 -+ -+
AT&T Corp T 4 0 +3 +1.5% +1% 0% +1% 4 -+ -+
McDonalds Corp MCD 5 +2 +9 +0.4% +1% +1% +20% 3 ++ -+ +
Coca Cola KO 6 0 -2 +0.6% 0% -2% 0% 4 -+ -+
Chevron Corp CVX 7 +1 +1 +0.4% 0% -5% -1% 5 -- -+ +
Kraft Foods KFT 8 +4 +10 +0.7% +2% -1% +12% 1 ++ ++ +
Wal-Mart WMT 9 0 +12 -0.8% -2% -3% -5% 5 -- -+
Caterpillar CAT 10 -5 -8 +1.1% 0% -9% +17% 5 -- -+ -
Merck MRK 11 +4 +11 +1.2% +2% -2% -2% 4 -+ +- +
Exxon Mobil XOM 12 +2 +8 +0.2% 0% -4% -12% 5 -- -- +
Travelers Cos TRV 13 +3 +10 +0.1% -1% -1% -1% 5 -- -- +
Johnson & Johns JNJ 14 +4 +13 -0.5% -1% -3% -9% 5 -- -- +
Procter & Gamble PG 14 +6 +12 +0.5% 0% -2% +1% 5 -- -- +
IBM IBM 16 -3 +3 -0.2% -1% -7% -5% 6 -- -- -
3M Company MMM 17 -6 -12 -1.4% -2% -9% -3% 6 -- -- -
United Technolgy UTX 18 -8 -9 -0.3% -1% -11% -4% 6 -- -- -
Disney DIS 19 -2 -3 +0.6% +1% -8% +1% 6 -- -- -
Home Depot HD 20 +7 +9 -0.6% 0% -1% -2% 3 +- -- +
American Express AXP 21 +1 -11 -0.1% +1% -10% 0% 5 -- -- +
Boeing BA 22 -3 -11 -1.6% 0% -11% +15% 6 -- -- -
General Electric GE 23 -2 -11 -0.3% -1% -11% -3% 6 -- -- -
Microsoft MSFT 24 -1 0 -0.7% -2% -6% -22% 6 -- -- -
Alcoa AA 25 -1 -8 -0.3% +2% -10% -36% 6 -- -- -
JP Morgan Chase JPM 26 0 -11 +1.4% 0% -7% -12% 6 -- --
Cisco Systems CSCO 27 -2 -14 -1.6% -5% -18% -17% 6 -- -- -
Intel INTC 28 0 -3 -1.6% -4% -11% -11% 6 -- --
BankAmerica Corp BAC 29 0 +1 +1.1% -1% -9% -17% 6 -- --
Hewlett Packard HPQ 30 0 -2 -0.3% 0% -9% -25% 6 -- --
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DOW 30 STOCKS PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 3 27
% of Total......: 10% 90%
Ave Days Elapsed: 30 17
Ave High Profit.: +3% +4%
Ave Profit......: +1% +4%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
08/31 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
Kraft Foods KFT 29.91 +0.7% BUY 0 0.0% -2.2% R 4
Home Depot HD 27.82 -0.6% BUY 40 3.2% -1.4% F 0
McDonalds Corp MCD 73.06 +0.4% BUY 50 5.8% 5.2% F 1
Wal-Mart WMT 50.14 -0.8% SELL 1 0.8% 0.8% F 5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 57.02 -0.5% SELL 6 0.7% 0.7% F 7
Pfizer PFE 15.91 +0.3% SELL 6 0.8% 0.5% F 13
AT&T Corp T 27.03 +1.5% SELL 8 0.0% -2.0% F 12
Chevron Corp CVX 74.08 +0.4% SELL 11 2.3% 1.3% F 13
Verizon VZ 29.53 +0.3% SELL 11 0.0% -0.5% F 13
Dupont DD 40.77 +1.1% SELL 12 2.7% -0.4% F 1
Exxon Mobil XOM 59.11 +0.2% SELL 12 1.4% 0.3% F 1
Coca Cola KO 55.88 +0.6% SELL 14 1.7% 0.4% F 20
Disney DIS 32.54 +0.6% SELL 15 5.1% 3.3% F 20
General Electric GE 14.48 -0.3% SELL 15 6.3% 6.3% F 20
IBM IBM 123.13 -0.2% SELL 15 3.9% 3.6% F 20
United Technolgy UTX 65.21 -0.3% SELL 15 7.0% 6.7% F 20
Alcoa AA 10.22 -0.3% SELL 18 5.9% 3.9% F 20
3M Company MMM 78.55 -1.4% SELL 19 5.9% 5.9% F 21
Boeing BA 61.13 -1.6% SELL 19 6.1% 5.5% F 20
Caterpillar CAT 65.16 +1.1% SELL 19 5.3% 3.5% F 21
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.99 -1.6% SELL 19 6.4% 6.4% F 20
Microsoft MSFT 23.47 -0.7% SELL 19 3.7% 3.7% F 26
BankAmerica Corp BAC 12.46 +1.1% SELL 20 6.6% 5.5% F 12
JP Morgan Chase JPM 36.36 +1.4% SELL 20 5.7% 3.7% F 25
Travelers Cos TRV 48.99 +0.1% SELL 21 0.9% 0.8% F 1
American Express AXP 39.87 -0.1% SELL 22 9.6% 8.9% F 27
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.45 -0.3% SELL 22 10.8% 9.7% F 20
Intel INTC 17.67 -1.6% SELL 26 14.5% 14.5% F 33
Procter & Gamble PG 59.67 +0.5% SELL 28 1.0% 0.5% F 12
Merck MRK 35.16 +1.2% SELL 41 2.1% 0.1% R 0
Average 0.0% 18 4.2% 3.2% 14
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DOW 30 STOCKS PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 13 17
% of Total......: 43% 57%
Ave Days Elapsed: 178 69
Ave High Profit.: +14% +8%
Ave Profit......: +9% +7%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +7% -10%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the DOW 30 stocks.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
08/31 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Disney DIS 32.54 +0.6% BUY 27 1.3% -6.6% 31.76 +2.5%
Pfizer PFE 15.91 +0.3% BUY 28 2.5% -1.5% 14.91 +6.7%
AT&T Corp T 27.03 +1.5% BUY 35 4.3% 3.4% 24.55 +10.1%
Chevron Corp CVX 74.08 +0.4% BUY 36 6.3% 0.2% 70.70 +4.8%
Coca Cola KO 55.88 +0.6% BUY 39 4.3% 2.1% 51.40 +8.7%
Verizon VZ 29.53 +0.3% BUY 39 8.2% 5.4% 27.29 +8.2%
Dupont DD 40.77 +1.1% BUY 40 12.6% 9.1% 35.89 +13.6%
Caterpillar CAT 65.16 +1.1% BUY 77 14.3% 3.4% 60.85 +7.1%
Merck MRK 35.16 +1.2% BUY 81 4.7% 0.9% 32.84 +7.1%
Procter & Gamble PG 59.67 +0.5% BUY 412 20.8% 13.4% 57.19 +4.3%
Kraft Foods KFT 29.91 +0.7% BUY 459 24.1% 20.7% 27.68 +8.0%
McDonalds Corp MCD 73.06 +0.4% BUY 516 37.0% 36.3% 66.06 +10.6%
IBM IBM 123.13 -0.2% BUY 526 37.9% 28.4% 118.99 +3.5%
3M Company MMM 78.55 -1.4% SELL 0 0.0% -3.9% 86.41 -9.1%
United Technolgy UTX 65.21 -0.3% SELL 6 0.3% 0.1% 71.56 -8.9%
American Express AXP 39.87 -0.1% SELL 7 0.0% -0.8% 43.53 -8.4%
Boeing BA 61.13 -1.6% SELL 7 0.3% -0.3% 66.84 -8.5%
General Electric GE 14.48 -0.3% SELL 7 0.6% 0.6% 15.93 -9.1%
JP Morgan Chase JPM 36.36 +1.4% SELL 12 3.9% 1.9% 39.86 -8.8%
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.99 -1.6% SELL 19 6.4% 6.4% 23.37 -14.5%
Intel INTC 17.67 -1.6% SELL 20 9.1% 9.1% 20.16 -12.3%
Home Depot HD 27.82 -0.6% SELL 68 8.8% 6.2% 29.78 -6.6%
Johnson & Johns JNJ 57.02 -0.5% SELL 95 2.2% 1.3% 62.14 -8.2%
Wal-Mart WMT 50.14 -0.8% SELL 97 4.0% -0.8% 52.49 -4.5%
Microsoft MSFT 23.47 -0.7% SELL 103 15.1% 13.0% 26.28 -10.7%
Travelers Cos TRV 48.99 +0.1% SELL 116 2.6% 0.5% 52.80 -7.2%
BankAmerica Corp BAC 12.46 +1.1% SELL 117 24.3% 23.4% 15.28 -18.5%
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.45 -0.3% SELL 117 21.2% 20.3% 46.34 -17.0%
Alcoa AA 10.22 -0.3% SELL 126 25.4% 23.6% 12.12 -15.7%
Exxon Mobil XOM 59.11 +0.2% SELL 258 16.2% 11.8% 63.39 -6.7%
Average 0.0% 116 10.6% 7.6% -2.7%
****************************************************************************
DOW 30 SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR DOW 30 STOCKS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 3 27 13 17
% of Total......: 10% 90% 43% 57%
Ave Days Elapsed: 30 17 178 69
Ave High Profit.: +3% +4% +14% +8%
Ave Profit......: +1% +4% +9% +7%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +7% -10%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 7%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 33%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
3M Company SELL 19 +5.9% +5.9% *SELL 0 0.0% -3.9%
Alcoa SELL 18 +5.9% +4.0% SELL 126 +25.4% +23.6%
American Expre SELL 22 +9.6% +8.9% SELL 7 0.0% -0.8%
AT&T Corp Warn! SELL 8 0.0% -2.0% BUY 35 +4.3% +3.4%
BankAmerica Co SELL 20 +6.6% +5.5% SELL 117 +24.3% +23.4%
Boeing SELL 19 +6.1% +5.5% SELL 7 +0.3% -0.3%
Caterpillar Warn! SELL 19 +5.3% +3.5% BUY 77 +14.3% +3.4%
Chevron Corp Warn! SELL 11 +2.3% +1.3% BUY 36 +6.3% +0.2%
Cisco Systems SELL 19 +6.4% +6.4% SELL 19 +6.4% +6.4%
Coca Cola Warn! SELL 14 +1.7% +0.4% BUY 39 +4.3% +2.1%
Disney Warn! SELL 15 +5.1% +3.3% BUY 27 +1.3% -6.6%
Dupont Warn! SELL 12 +2.7% -0.4% BUY 40 +12.6% +9.1%
Exxon Mobil SELL 12 +1.4% +0.3% SELL 258 +16.2% +11.8%
General Electr SELL 15 +6.3% +6.3% SELL 7 +0.6% +0.6%
Hewlett Packar SELL 22 +10.8% +9.7% SELL 117 +21.2% +20.3%
Home Depot Warn! BUY 40 +3.2% -1.4% SELL 68 +8.8% +6.2%
IBM Warn! SELL 15 +3.9% +3.6% BUY 526 +37.9% +28.4%
Intel SELL 26 +14.5% +14.5% SELL 20 +9.1% +9.1%
Johnson & John SELL 6 +0.7% +0.7% SELL 95 +2.2% +1.3%
JP Morgan Chas SELL 20 +5.7% +3.7% SELL 12 +3.9% +1.9%
Kraft Foods Buy? * BUY 0 0.0% -2.2% BUY 459 +24.1% +20.7%
McDonalds Corp BUY 50 +5.8% +5.2% BUY 516 +37.0% +36.3%
Merck Warn! SELL 41 +2.1% +0.1% BUY 81 +4.7% +0.9%
Microsoft SELL 19 +3.7% +3.7% SELL 103 +15.1% +13.0%
Pfizer Warn! SELL 6 +0.8% +0.5% BUY 28 +2.5% -1.6%
Procter & Gamb Warn! SELL 28 +1.0% +0.5% BUY 412 +20.8% +13.4%
Travelers Cos SELL 21 +0.9% +0.8% SELL 116 +2.6% +0.6%
United Technol SELL 15 +7.0% +6.8% SELL 6 +0.3% +0.1%
Verizon Warn! SELL 11 0.0% -0.5% BUY 39 +8.2% +5.4%
Wal-Mart SELL 1 +0.8% +0.8% SELL 97 +4.0% -0.8%
Average 18 +4.2% +3.2% 116 +10.6% +7.6%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the stock traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
% Ave Daily Vol: Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
250-EMA of volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume.
High percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is
being shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
Yield: Dividend expressed as a percentage of the closing price.
Payout Ratio: Dividend divided by the earnings. If this number is greater
than 1.0 it means that the company is paying out more in dividends than it
is earning. Not good.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other stocks
this group.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily DOW 30 Stock Review for Tuesday 8/31/2010
Copyright 2010 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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