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DECISION POINT
DAILY DOW 30 STOCK REVIEW
FRIDAY 5/30/2008
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This report highlights daily results of the stocks in the DOW 30 Index.
Daily chart books of these stocks (6-Mo and 2-Yr) are also available (see
Main Menu). THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NOT A
SOLICITATION OR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
*****************************************************************************
DOW 30 RESULTS FOR FRIDAY 5/30/08
05/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
3M Company MMM 77.56 -0.20 -0.3% 3458.0 87% 2.6% 15 0.4
Alcoa AA 40.59 +0.25 +0.6% 9266.7 70% 1.7% 16 0.3
Amer Intl Group AIG 36.00 +0.66 +1.9% 27996.8 131% 2.2% D
American Express AXP 46.35 -0.40 -0.9% 7340.5 77% 1.6% 14 0.2
AT&T Corp T 39.90 -0.30 -0.8% 25383.5 100% 4.0% 19 0.8
BankAmerica Corp BAC 34.01 -0.59 -1.7% 31813.9 90% 7.5% 14 1.1
Boeing BA 82.77 +0.66 +0.8% 4644.1 74% 1.9% 14 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 82.64 -0.14 -0.2% 4895.2 75% 1.7% 15 0.3
Chevron Corp CVX 99.15 +0.29 +0.3% 11770.8 102% 2.6% 12 0.3
Citigroup C 21.89 -0.15 -0.7% 53322.2 68% 5.8% D
Coca Cola KO 57.26 -0.61 -1.1% 13335.2 139% 2.7% 21 0.6
Disney DIS 33.60 -0.21 -0.6% 12698.2 111% 1.0% 15 0.2
Dupont DD 47.91 +0.11 +0.2% 4310.6 69% 3.4% 14 0.5
Exxon Mobil XOM 88.76 -0.59 -0.7% 26826.6 106% 1.8% 12 0.2
General Electric GE 30.72 +0.08 +0.3% 49631.6 106% 4.0% 14 0.6
General Motors GM 17.10 -0.28 -1.6% 15908.8 87% 5.8% D
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.06 +0.15 +0.3% 17427.6 102% 0.7% 15 0.1
Home Depot HD 27.36 -0.35 -1.3% 11628.6 64% 3.3% 14 0.4
IBM IBM 129.43 -0.28 -0.2% 8609.3 102% 1.5% 17 0.3
Intel INTC 23.18 +0.04 +0.2% 51096.1 76% 2.4% 20 0.5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 66.74 +0.32 +0.5% 10885.7 92% 2.8% 17 0.5
JP Morgan Chase JPM 43.00 -0.57 -1.3% 21294.3 73% 3.5% 12 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 59.32 -0.16 -0.3% 5079.6 60% 2.5% 27 0.7
Merck MRK 38.96 +0.04 +0.1% 13856.1 87% 3.9% 17 0.7
Microsoft MSFT 28.32 +0.01 +0.0% 61810.8 84% 1.6% 16 0.3
Pfizer PFE 19.36 -0.04 -0.2% 36870.3 86% 6.6% 17 1.1
Procter & Gamble PG 66.05 +0.58 +0.9% 9643.2 81% 2.4% 19 0.5
United Technolgy UTX 71.04 +0.81 +1.2% 5289.9 107% 1.8% 16 0.3
Verizon VZ 38.47 +0.10 +0.3% 11747.8 83% 4.5% 20 0.9
Wal-Mart WMT 57.74 -0.20 -0.4% 12095.4 59% 1.6% 18 0.3
Average -0.03 -0.2% 19331.2 88% 3.0% 85 0.5
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE CHANGE
05/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Amer Intl Group AIG 36.00 +0.66 +1.9% 27996.8 131% 2.2% D
United Technolgy UTX 71.04 +0.81 +1.2% 5289.9 107% 1.8% 16 0.3
Procter & Gamble PG 66.05 +0.58 +0.9% 9643.2 81% 2.4% 19 0.5
Boeing BA 82.77 +0.66 +0.8% 4644.1 74% 1.9% 14 0.3
Alcoa AA 40.59 +0.25 +0.6% 9266.7 70% 1.7% 16 0.3
Johnson & Johns JNJ 66.74 +0.32 +0.5% 10885.7 92% 2.8% 17 0.5
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.06 +0.15 +0.3% 17427.6 102% 0.7% 15 0.1
Chevron Corp CVX 99.15 +0.29 +0.3% 11770.8 102% 2.6% 12 0.3
General Electric GE 30.72 +0.08 +0.3% 49631.6 106% 4.0% 14 0.6
Verizon VZ 38.47 +0.10 +0.3% 11747.8 83% 4.5% 20 0.9
Dupont DD 47.91 +0.11 +0.2% 4310.6 69% 3.4% 14 0.5
Intel INTC 23.18 +0.04 +0.2% 51096.1 76% 2.4% 20 0.5
Merck MRK 38.96 +0.04 +0.1% 13856.1 87% 3.9% 17 0.7
Microsoft MSFT 28.32 +0.01 +0.0% 61810.8 84% 1.6% 16 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 82.64 -0.14 -0.2% 4895.2 75% 1.7% 15 0.3
Pfizer PFE 19.36 -0.04 -0.2% 36870.3 86% 6.6% 17 1.1
IBM IBM 129.43 -0.28 -0.2% 8609.3 102% 1.5% 17 0.3
3M Company MMM 77.56 -0.20 -0.3% 3458.0 87% 2.6% 15 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 59.32 -0.16 -0.3% 5079.6 60% 2.5% 27 0.7
Wal-Mart WMT 57.74 -0.20 -0.4% 12095.4 59% 1.6% 18 0.3
Disney DIS 33.60 -0.21 -0.6% 12698.2 111% 1.0% 15 0.2
Exxon Mobil XOM 88.76 -0.59 -0.7% 26826.6 106% 1.8% 12 0.2
Citigroup C 21.89 -0.15 -0.7% 53322.2 68% 5.8% D
AT&T Corp T 39.90 -0.30 -0.8% 25383.5 100% 4.0% 19 0.8
American Express AXP 46.35 -0.40 -0.9% 7340.5 77% 1.6% 14 0.2
Coca Cola KO 57.26 -0.61 -1.1% 13335.2 139% 2.7% 21 0.6
Home Depot HD 27.36 -0.35 -1.3% 11628.6 64% 3.3% 14 0.4
JP Morgan Chase JPM 43.00 -0.57 -1.3% 21294.3 73% 3.5% 12 0.4
General Motors GM 17.10 -0.28 -1.6% 15908.8 87% 5.8% D
BankAmerica Corp BAC 34.01 -0.59 -1.7% 31813.9 90% 7.5% 14 1.1
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume. High
percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is being
shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
05/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Coca Cola KO 57.26 -0.61 -1.1% 13335.2 139% 2.7% 21 0.6
Amer Intl Group AIG 36.00 +0.66 +1.9% 27996.8 131% 2.2% D
Disney DIS 33.60 -0.21 -0.6% 12698.2 111% 1.0% 15 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 71.04 +0.81 +1.2% 5289.9 107% 1.8% 16 0.3
General Electric GE 30.72 +0.08 +0.3% 49631.6 106% 4.0% 14 0.6
Exxon Mobil XOM 88.76 -0.59 -0.7% 26826.6 106% 1.8% 12 0.2
IBM IBM 129.43 -0.28 -0.2% 8609.3 102% 1.5% 17 0.3
Chevron Corp CVX 99.15 +0.29 +0.3% 11770.8 102% 2.6% 12 0.3
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.06 +0.15 +0.3% 17427.6 102% 0.7% 15 0.1
AT&T Corp T 39.90 -0.30 -0.8% 25383.5 100% 4.0% 19 0.8
Johnson & Johns JNJ 66.74 +0.32 +0.5% 10885.7 92% 2.8% 17 0.5
BankAmerica Corp BAC 34.01 -0.59 -1.7% 31813.9 90% 7.5% 14 1.1
General Motors GM 17.10 -0.28 -1.6% 15908.8 87% 5.8% D
Merck MRK 38.96 +0.04 +0.1% 13856.1 87% 3.9% 17 0.7
3M Company MMM 77.56 -0.20 -0.3% 3458.0 87% 2.6% 15 0.4
Pfizer PFE 19.36 -0.04 -0.2% 36870.3 86% 6.6% 17 1.1
Microsoft MSFT 28.32 +0.01 +0.0% 61810.8 84% 1.6% 16 0.3
Verizon VZ 38.47 +0.10 +0.3% 11747.8 83% 4.5% 20 0.9
Procter & Gamble PG 66.05 +0.58 +0.9% 9643.2 81% 2.4% 19 0.5
American Express AXP 46.35 -0.40 -0.9% 7340.5 77% 1.6% 14 0.2
Intel INTC 23.18 +0.04 +0.2% 51096.1 76% 2.4% 20 0.5
Caterpillar CAT 82.64 -0.14 -0.2% 4895.2 75% 1.7% 15 0.3
Boeing BA 82.77 +0.66 +0.8% 4644.1 74% 1.9% 14 0.3
JP Morgan Chase JPM 43.00 -0.57 -1.3% 21294.3 73% 3.5% 12 0.4
Alcoa AA 40.59 +0.25 +0.6% 9266.7 70% 1.7% 16 0.3
Dupont DD 47.91 +0.11 +0.2% 4310.6 69% 3.4% 14 0.5
Citigroup C 21.89 -0.15 -0.7% 53322.2 68% 5.8% D
Home Depot HD 27.36 -0.35 -1.3% 11628.6 64% 3.3% 14 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 59.32 -0.16 -0.3% 5079.6 60% 2.5% 27 0.7
Wal-Mart WMT 57.74 -0.20 -0.4% 12095.4 59% 1.6% 18 0.3
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY YIELD
05/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
BankAmerica Corp BAC 34.01 -0.59 -1.7% 31813.9 90% 7.5% 14 1.1
Pfizer PFE 19.36 -0.04 -0.2% 36870.3 86% 6.6% 17 1.1
Citigroup C 21.89 -0.15 -0.7% 53322.2 68% 5.8% D
General Motors GM 17.10 -0.28 -1.6% 15908.8 87% 5.8% D
Verizon VZ 38.47 +0.10 +0.3% 11747.8 83% 4.5% 20 0.9
General Electric GE 30.72 +0.08 +0.3% 49631.6 106% 4.0% 14 0.6
AT&T Corp T 39.90 -0.30 -0.8% 25383.5 100% 4.0% 19 0.8
Merck MRK 38.96 +0.04 +0.1% 13856.1 87% 3.9% 17 0.7
JP Morgan Chase JPM 43.00 -0.57 -1.3% 21294.3 73% 3.5% 12 0.4
Dupont DD 47.91 +0.11 +0.2% 4310.6 69% 3.4% 14 0.5
Home Depot HD 27.36 -0.35 -1.3% 11628.6 64% 3.3% 14 0.4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 66.74 +0.32 +0.5% 10885.7 92% 2.8% 17 0.5
Coca Cola KO 57.26 -0.61 -1.1% 13335.2 139% 2.7% 21 0.6
Chevron Corp CVX 99.15 +0.29 +0.3% 11770.8 102% 2.6% 12 0.3
3M Company MMM 77.56 -0.20 -0.3% 3458.0 87% 2.6% 15 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 59.32 -0.16 -0.3% 5079.6 60% 2.5% 27 0.7
Intel INTC 23.18 +0.04 +0.2% 51096.1 76% 2.4% 20 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 66.05 +0.58 +0.9% 9643.2 81% 2.4% 19 0.5
Amer Intl Group AIG 36.00 +0.66 +1.9% 27996.8 131% 2.2% D
Boeing BA 82.77 +0.66 +0.8% 4644.1 74% 1.9% 14 0.3
Exxon Mobil XOM 88.76 -0.59 -0.7% 26826.6 106% 1.8% 12 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 71.04 +0.81 +1.2% 5289.9 107% 1.8% 16 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 82.64 -0.14 -0.2% 4895.2 75% 1.7% 15 0.3
Alcoa AA 40.59 +0.25 +0.6% 9266.7 70% 1.7% 16 0.3
Wal-Mart WMT 57.74 -0.20 -0.4% 12095.4 59% 1.6% 18 0.3
American Express AXP 46.35 -0.40 -0.9% 7340.5 77% 1.6% 14 0.2
IBM IBM 129.43 -0.28 -0.2% 8609.3 102% 1.5% 17 0.3
Microsoft MSFT 28.32 +0.01 +0.0% 61810.8 84% 1.6% 16 0.3
Disney DIS 33.60 -0.21 -0.6% 12698.2 111% 1.0% 15 0.2
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.06 +0.15 +0.3% 17427.6 102% 0.7% 15 0.1
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY P/E RATIO
05/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Exxon Mobil XOM 88.76 -0.59 -0.7% 26826.6 106% 1.8% 12 0.2
JP Morgan Chase JPM 43.00 -0.57 -1.3% 21294.3 73% 3.5% 12 0.4
Chevron Corp CVX 99.15 +0.29 +0.3% 11770.8 102% 2.6% 12 0.3
Home Depot HD 27.36 -0.35 -1.3% 11628.6 64% 3.3% 14 0.4
Dupont DD 47.91 +0.11 +0.2% 4310.6 69% 3.4% 14 0.5
American Express AXP 46.35 -0.40 -0.9% 7340.5 77% 1.6% 14 0.2
General Electric GE 30.72 +0.08 +0.3% 49631.6 106% 4.0% 14 0.6
BankAmerica Corp BAC 34.01 -0.59 -1.7% 31813.9 90% 7.5% 14 1.1
Boeing BA 82.77 +0.66 +0.8% 4644.1 74% 1.9% 14 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 82.64 -0.14 -0.2% 4895.2 75% 1.7% 15 0.3
Disney DIS 33.60 -0.21 -0.6% 12698.2 111% 1.0% 15 0.2
3M Company MMM 77.56 -0.20 -0.3% 3458.0 87% 2.6% 15 0.4
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.06 +0.15 +0.3% 17427.6 102% 0.7% 15 0.1
Alcoa AA 40.59 +0.25 +0.6% 9266.7 70% 1.7% 16 0.3
United Technolgy UTX 71.04 +0.81 +1.2% 5289.9 107% 1.8% 16 0.3
Microsoft MSFT 28.32 +0.01 +0.0% 61810.8 84% 1.6% 16 0.3
Johnson & Johns JNJ 66.74 +0.32 +0.5% 10885.7 92% 2.8% 17 0.5
IBM IBM 129.43 -0.28 -0.2% 8609.3 102% 1.5% 17 0.3
Pfizer PFE 19.36 -0.04 -0.2% 36870.3 86% 6.6% 17 1.1
Merck MRK 38.96 +0.04 +0.1% 13856.1 87% 3.9% 17 0.7
Wal-Mart WMT 57.74 -0.20 -0.4% 12095.4 59% 1.6% 18 0.3
AT&T Corp T 39.90 -0.30 -0.8% 25383.5 100% 4.0% 19 0.8
Procter & Gamble PG 66.05 +0.58 +0.9% 9643.2 81% 2.4% 19 0.5
Verizon VZ 38.47 +0.10 +0.3% 11747.8 83% 4.5% 20 0.9
Intel INTC 23.18 +0.04 +0.2% 51096.1 76% 2.4% 20 0.5
Coca Cola KO 57.26 -0.61 -1.1% 13335.2 139% 2.7% 21 0.6
McDonalds Corp MCD 59.32 -0.16 -0.3% 5079.6 60% 2.5% 27 0.7
Amer Intl Group AIG 36.00 +0.66 +1.9% 27996.8 131% 2.2% D
Citigroup C 21.89 -0.15 -0.7% 53322.2 68% 5.8% D
General Motors GM 17.10 -0.28 -1.6% 15908.8 87% 5.8% D
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DOW 30 DAILY BLUE CHIP STOCK PMO STRENGTH RANK ANALYSIS
This report presents ranking of DOW 30 stocks based on Decision
Point's proprietary PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator). The PMO measures a
stock's absolute strength based on price momentum. THIS REPORT IS TO ASSIST
RESEARCH AND IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.
The Hot/Cold Groups & Blinkers are explained at the end of this report.
STOCKS SORTED BY PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) RANK
|RankChg-| |---- % Price Change ----| Hot/Cold
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group &
Stock Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 05/30 Day Day YTD Blinkers
--------------------- ---- ---- ---- ------ ----- ----- ------ |---------|
Alcoa AA 1 0 +18 +0.6% -1% +2% +12% 4 -+ -+
Chevron Corp CVX 2 0 +3 +0.3% -3% +2% +8% 4 -+ -+
Intel INTC 3 0 +3 +0.2% -3% -1% -12% 5 -- -+
IBM IBM 4 +2 +6 -0.2% +4% +4% +21% 1 ++ ++ +
Caterpillar CAT 5 -1 -1 -0.2% +1% 0% +15% 4 -+ -+ -
Disney DIS 6 -1 +5 -0.6% 0% -3% +4% 5 -- -+ -
Wal-Mart WMT 7 +4 0 -0.4% +3% +1% +23% 4 -+ ++ +
AT&T Corp T 8 +2 +5 -0.8% +2% +3% -2% 4 -+ ++ +
Boeing BA 9 -2 -1 +0.8% +2% -2% -4% 5 -- -+ -
Verizon VZ 10 +2 +2 +0.3% +3% +1% -10% 4 -+ ++ +
McDonalds Corp MCD 11 -2 -2 -0.3% +1% -1% +1% 4 -+ -+ -
American Express AXP 12 -4 -10 -0.9% 0% -5% -11% 5 -- -+ -
Exxon Mobil XOM 13 0 +8 -0.7% -4% -1% -4% 5 -- -+
Johnson & Johns JNJ 14 +3 +4 +0.5% +2% 0% +1% 4 -+ ++ +
United Technolgy UTX 15 -1 +1 +1.2% -1% -4% -6% 5 -- -+ -
Dupont DD 16 0 +1 +0.2% -1% -2% +11% 5 -- -+
Hewlett Packard HPQ 17 +3 +3 +0.3% +5% -4% -7% 4 -+ +- +
JP Morgan Chase JPM 18 -3 -17 -1.3% 0% -7% -1% 6 -- -- -
Microsoft MSFT 19 -1 +4 +0.0% -1% -3% -20% 6 -- -- -
3M Company MMM 20 +1 +5 -0.3% +1% +1% -7% 2 ++ +- +
Home Depot HD 21 -2 -7 -1.3% +2% -2% +2% 6 -- -- -
Coca Cola KO 22 +5 +5 -1.1% -2% +2% -6% 3 +- -- +
Procter & Gamble PG 23 0 +3 +0.9% +1% 0% -9% 4 -+ +-
Merck MRK 24 +2 +6 +0.1% 0% 0% -32% 3 +- +- +
Pfizer PFE 25 -1 +3 -0.2% -2% -3% -12% 6 -- -- -
Citigroup C 26 -4 -23 -0.7% +1% -10% -24% 6 -- -- -
General Electric GE 27 +2 +2 +0.3% -1% -6% -16% 5 -- -- +
BankAmerica Corp BAC 28 0 -4 -1.7% -2% -9% -16% 6 -- --
General Motors GM 29 -4 -14 -1.6% -7% -18% -30% 6 -- -- -
Amer Intl Group AIG 30 0 -8 +1.9% -5% -18% -38% 6 -- --
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DOW 30 STOCKS PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 4 26
% of Total......: 13% 87%
Ave Days Elapsed: 12 16
Ave High Profit.: +2% +4%
Ave Profit......: -1% +2%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
05/30 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
3M Company MMM 77.56 -0.3% BUY 1 0.0% -0.3% R 2
IBM IBM 129.43 -0.2% BUY 1 0.0% -0.2% R 3
Coca Cola KO 57.26 -1.1% BUY 7 0.0% -2.3% F 0
Merck MRK 38.96 +0.1% BUY 37 7.3% 0.9% R 1
Alcoa AA 40.59 +0.6% SELL 0 0.0% 10.0% F 9
Chevron Corp CVX 99.15 +0.3% SELL 1 0.0% -0.3% F 7
Exxon Mobil XOM 88.76 -0.7% SELL 3 1.2% 1.2% F 8
Pfizer PFE 19.36 -0.2% SELL 3 0.2% -0.2% F 8
Intel INTC 23.18 +0.2% SELL 7 1.2% 1.0% F 10
Disney DIS 33.60 -0.6% SELL 8 1.1% 0.0% F 10
AT&T Corp T 39.90 -0.7% SELL 9 0.9% -2.6% R 1
Boeing BA 82.77 +0.8% SELL 9 0.0% -1.9% F 10
United Technolgy UTX 71.04 +1.2% SELL 9 2.8% 1.4% F 18
Verizon VZ 38.47 +0.3% SELL 9 0.4% -3.4% R 1
Microsoft MSFT 28.32 0.0% SELL 10 2.5% 1.5% F 11
American Express AXP 46.35 -0.9% SELL 11 6.4% 4.6% F 14
McDonalds Corp MCD 59.32 -0.3% SELL 14 4.6% 2.0% F 16
General Motors GM 17.10 -1.6% SELL 17 14.3% 14.3% F 10
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.06 +0.3% SELL 17 0.0% -6.3% R 2
BankAmerica Corp BAC 34.01 -1.7% SELL 18 9.5% 9.2% F 23
Amer Intl Group AIG 36.00 +1.9% SELL 21 13.3% 10.6% F 23
Citigroup C 21.89 -0.7% SELL 21 10.9% 7.4% F 23
Home Depot HD 27.36 -1.3% SELL 22 4.1% 2.0% F 14
Johnson & Johns JNJ 66.74 +0.5% SELL 22 2.3% -0.5% R 1
JP Morgan Chase JPM 43.00 -1.3% SELL 22 8.1% 6.6% F 23
Caterpillar CAT 82.64 -0.2% SELL 23 0.1% -1.2% F 16
Wal-Mart WMT 57.74 -0.3% SELL 25 2.6% -1.8% R 2
Dupont DD 47.91 +0.2% SELL 32 3.6% 1.8% F 11
Procter & Gamble PG 66.05 +0.9% SELL 43 4.0% 2.2% R 1
General Electric GE 30.72 +0.3% SELL 49 5.1% 4.1% F 10
Average -0.2% 16 3.6% 2.0% 10
*****************************************************************************
DOW 30 STOCKS PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 17 13
% of Total......: 57% 43%
Ave Days Elapsed: 94 118
Ave High Profit.: +10% +18%
Ave Profit......: +6% +16%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +8% -15%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the DOW 30 stocks.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
05/30 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Alcoa AA 40.59 +0.6% BUY 24 17.3% 6.8% 36.41 +11.5%
Verizon VZ 38.47 +0.3% BUY 30 2.9% 0.0% 35.63 +8.0%
Boeing BA 82.77 +0.8% BUY 31 2.3% -2.8% 78.36 +5.6%
United Technolgy UTX 71.04 +1.2% BUY 32 3.3% -2.3% 67.64 +5.0%
Intel INTC 23.18 +0.2% BUY 36 10.8% 2.7% 22.50 +3.0%
3M Company MMM 77.56 -0.3% BUY 42 0.0% -5.8% 74.13 +4.6%
AT&T Corp T 39.90 -0.7% BUY 67 7.6% 6.0% 36.46 +9.4%
Exxon Mobil XOM 88.76 -0.7% BUY 94 5.7% -0.8% 85.10 +4.3%
Hewlett Packard HPQ 47.06 +0.3% BUY 100 3.7% -0.6% 44.22 +6.4%
Chevron Corp CVX 99.15 +0.3% BUY 101 22.3% 17.7% 87.64 +13.1%
Disney DIS 33.60 -0.6% BUY 107 6.7% 2.5% 31.49 +6.7%
Dupont DD 47.91 +0.2% BUY 108 11.9% 3.4% 46.64 +2.7%
McDonalds Corp MCD 59.32 -0.3% BUY 109 10.0% 6.7% 54.99 +7.9%
Caterpillar CAT 82.64 -0.2% BUY 119 19.4% 15.7% 74.99 +10.2%
IBM IBM 129.43 -0.2% BUY 119 19.9% 19.6% 112.73 +14.8%
Wal-Mart WMT 57.74 -0.3% BUY 232 26.1% 24.8% 50.55 +14.2%
Johnson & Johns JNJ 66.74 +0.5% BUY 249 5.4% 3.8% 61.00 +9.4%
American Express AXP 46.35 -0.9% SELL 9 0.1% -1.9% 50.19 -7.6%
Home Depot HD 27.36 -1.3% SELL 9 0.6% -1.6% 29.66 -7.8%
JP Morgan Chase JPM 43.00 -1.3% SELL 10 3.2% 1.6% 46.55 -7.6%
Coca Cola KO 57.26 -1.1% SELL 23 1.5% -0.4% 61.77 -7.3%
Microsoft MSFT 28.32 0.0% SELL 30 1.3% 0.4% 30.86 -8.2%
General Electric GE 30.72 +0.3% SELL 49 5.1% 4.1% 34.96 -12.1%
Merck MRK 38.96 +0.1% SELL 129 27.1% 23.5% 45.88 -15.1%
Procter & Gamble PG 66.05 +0.9% SELL 129 0.7% -2.0% 70.74 -6.6%
Pfizer PFE 19.36 -0.2% SELL 193 12.4% 12.2% 21.78 -11.1%
General Motors GM 17.10 -1.6% SELL 204 46.9% 46.9% 24.76 -30.9%
Amer Intl Group AIG 36.00 +1.9% SELL 218 43.1% 41.3% 51.91 -30.6%
BankAmerica Corp BAC 34.01 -1.7% SELL 218 25.7% 25.4% 41.04 -17.1%
Citigroup C 21.89 -0.7% SELL 311 60.9% 53.4% 30.15 -27.4%
Average -0.2% 104 13.5% 10.0% -1.8%
****************************************************************************
DOW 30 SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR DOW 30 STOCKS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 4 26 17 13
% of Total......: 13% 87% 57% 43%
Ave Days Elapsed: 12 16 94 118
Ave High Profit.: +2% +4% +10% +18%
Ave Profit......: -1% +2% +6% +16%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +8% -15%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 30%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 53%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
3M Company BUY 1 0.0% -0.3% BUY 42 0.0% -5.8%
Alcoa Warn! *SELL 0 0.0% +10.0% BUY 24 +17.3% +6.8%
Amer Intl Grou SELL 21 +13.3% +10.6% SELL 218 +43.1% +41.3%
American Expre SELL 11 +6.4% +4.6% SELL 9 +0.1% -1.9%
AT&T Corp Warn! SELL 9 +0.9% -2.6% BUY 67 +7.6% +6.0%
BankAmerica Co SELL 18 +9.5% +9.2% SELL 218 +25.7% +25.4%
Boeing Warn! SELL 9 0.0% -2.0% BUY 31 +2.3% -2.8%
Caterpillar Warn! SELL 23 +0.1% -1.2% BUY 119 +19.4% +15.7%
Chevron Corp Warn! SELL 1 0.0% -0.3% BUY 101 +22.3% +17.7%
Citigroup SELL 21 +10.9% +7.4% SELL 311 +60.9% +53.4%
Coca Cola Warn! BUY 7 0.0% -2.3% SELL 23 +1.5% -0.4%
Disney Warn! SELL 8 +1.1% +0.0% BUY 107 +6.7% +2.5%
Dupont Warn! SELL 32 +3.6% +1.8% BUY 108 +11.9% +3.4%
Exxon Mobil Warn! SELL 3 +1.2% +1.2% BUY 94 +5.7% -0.8%
General Electr SELL 49 +5.2% +4.2% SELL 49 +5.2% +4.2%
General Motors SELL 17 +14.3% +14.3% SELL 204 +46.9% +46.9%
Hewlett Packar Warn! SELL 17 0.0% -6.3% BUY 100 +3.7% -0.6%
Home Depot SELL 22 +4.1% +2.0% SELL 9 +0.6% -1.6%
IBM BUY 1 0.0% -0.2% BUY 119 +19.9% +19.6%
Intel Warn! SELL 7 +1.2% +1.0% BUY 36 +10.8% +2.8%
Johnson & John Warn! SELL 22 +2.3% -0.5% BUY 249 +5.4% +3.8%
JP Morgan Chas SELL 22 +8.1% +6.6% SELL 10 +3.2% +1.6%
McDonalds Corp Warn! SELL 14 +4.6% +2.0% BUY 109 +10.0% +6.7%
Merck Warn! BUY 37 +7.3% +0.9% SELL 129 +27.1% +23.5%
Microsoft SELL 10 +2.5% +1.5% SELL 30 +1.3% +0.4%
Pfizer SELL 3 +0.2% -0.2% SELL 193 +12.4% +12.2%
Procter & Gamb SELL 43 +4.0% +2.2% SELL 129 +0.7% -2.0%
United Technol Warn! SELL 9 +2.8% +1.4% BUY 32 +3.3% -2.3%
Verizon Warn! SELL 9 +0.4% -3.4% BUY 30 +2.9% -0.0%
Wal-Mart Warn! SELL 25 +2.6% -1.8% BUY 232 +26.1% +24.8%
Average 16 +3.6% +2.0% 104 +13.5% +10.0%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the stock traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
% Ave Daily Vol: Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
250-EMA of volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume.
High percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is
being shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
Yield: Dividend expressed as a percentage of the closing price.
Payout Ratio: Dividend divided by the earnings. If this number is greater
than 1.0 it means that the company is paying out more in dividends than it
is earning. Not good.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other stocks
this group.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily DOW 30 Stock Review for Friday 5/30/2008
Copyright 2008 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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